Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | GUO Joey | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
2 | HSU Rachel | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
3 | CHEN Ryker | D V V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
3 | LEONG Wilson Hua | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
5 | MIYOSHI Kylie | V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
6 | BHARDWAJ Ranbir | D V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
7 | SRIDHARA Shaan | V V D D D | V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
8 | HE Gary | V D V D D D | V V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
9 | ARYA Leela | V V V D V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
10 | YU Jinyuan | V V D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
11 | FISCHER Grant | D V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
12 | DING Sam | D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
13 | NICOLETTI Thea | V V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
14 | KIM Parker | D D V V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
15 | YU Xintong | D D V V V D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
16 | KAJITA Grayson | D D D V V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
17 | ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz | V D V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
18 | LI Lief | V D V V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
19 | PAN Samantha | V D V D V | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
20 | YUEN Landon | V V V D D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
21 | ZHAN Catherine | V V D D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
22 | AGARWAL Jagrav | D D V V D | D | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 |
23 | WARBURTON Eleanor | V V D D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
24 | SHAO Tysen | D D D V V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
25 | GOLDSTEIN Benjamin | D D V V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
25 | SMOLIN Theo | V V D D D | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
27 | ALCAZAREN Cian | V D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
28 | DURBIN Libby | D D V D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
29 | WANG Andrew | D D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
30 | LAM Dorris Yandor | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
31 | DONG Nancy | D V D D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
32 | HONDA Emi | D D D D D | V D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
33 | VASANTH Arjun | V D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
34 | YAN Aaron | V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
35 | ALNAGGAR Ali | D D D D D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 | |
36 | CHEUNG Carabelle | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
37 | KO Cameron | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.