Event Results
Firefly Fencing OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PRICE Jack S. | V D V D V | V V V V | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 2 | SMITH David C. | V V V V D | V V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 3 | SPEAR Will | V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | D'ORAZIO Joseph | D D V D D | V V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 5 | MANDEL Adam J. | V V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 6 | SMITH Mitchell M. | V V D V V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 7 | POPE Nico | V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 8 | BARBER Brendan | D V V D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 9 | AUSTIN Adam | D V V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 10 | GORTON George F. | V D V V D | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 11 | CUCINELLI Brian P. | D V D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 12 | FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. | V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 13 | XU Luke | D V D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 14 | CLAYMAN John A. | V D D D V | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 15 | MEHTA Nalin J. | D D D V D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 16 | BYRNES Luke | D D D D D | V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 17 | TIBBETTS Noah | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 18 | CASSIDY Thomas | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |