Fairfax Challenge Winter RYC & RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, December 28, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Owings Mills, MD - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAULSON Connor M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
2 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
3 WALTER Evran M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 YU Jonathan J. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
5 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
6 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
7 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 6%
8 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
9 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 18% 3%
10 SURINGA William J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
11 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
12 LI Bojun 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
13 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26%
14 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
15 ROSSEN Michael 100% 96% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
16 GAO William 100% 96% 66% 26% 6% 1% -
17 ALONSOZANA Luke 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
18 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
19 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
20 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7%
21 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
22 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
23 WONG Ethan 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
24 LONG Connor M. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
25 DRESSEL Jet 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
26 WANG Waley 100% 93% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
27 SONG Bryan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
28 QIU Daniel 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
29 BEALE Asa G. 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
30 BROWN Cullen 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
31 SCHLOSSNAGLE Christopher 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
32 LI Lianhao 100% 30% 4% - - - -
33 BERNABE Rafael 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
34 LEE Jacob 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
35 ROSS III Paul D. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.