2024 TCFC June Challenges

Mixed Foil

Sunday, June 23, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NAIDL Josiah 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 7%
2 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 CAPERS Hunter 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
3 TOEWS Jackson 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
5 HOPKINS Dylan 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
6 MIZIN Sarita O. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
7 CHO Mina 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
8 KWAN Victor 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
9 TRAN Allex 100% 96% 53% 14% 2% -
10 BUENAFLOR Jeffrey P. 100% 100% 99% 86% 46% 9%
11 RIES Celina 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
12 UNGEMAH Joseph 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
13 PEICHEL Timothy (Tim) T. 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
14 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
15 GOERISH Elliot 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
16 ROY Griffin 100% 100% 93% 67% 26% 4%
17 TELCI Arya 100% 28% 3% - - -
17 GRAY Elijah 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.