National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Saber

Monday, July 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 ERMAKOV Semeon - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
3 JOO Jeein - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
3 KIM ELIJAH - - 1% 8% 24% 40% 26%
5 HOLZ Daniel - - - - 3% 25% 72%
6 KWALWASSER Eric - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
7 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
8 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
9 PI Alexander - - - 4% 18% 40% 38%
10 LEE Noah - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
11 BERA Enzo - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 11%
12 CHON Collin - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
13 KANG Evan R. - - 1% 5% 22% 41% 31%
14 WONG Lucas - 6% 27% 41% 23% 2%
15 SOWERS Samuel - 2% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
16 GUFFEY Christopher - - - 3% 26% 70%
17 TAO Jeffrey - - - 5% 34% 61%
18 RAMANAN Govind - - 2% 12% 29% 37% 19%
19 KALPATHY Rohit - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
20 LIU Kevin - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
20 NG Jonathan - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
22 VAID Luke - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
23 HU Chris - - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
24 WANG Justin - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
25 LI Howard - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
26 WANG Zhuoyi - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
27 PASTORE LIU Vince - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
28 YANG Dylan - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
29 KATZ Ryan - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 5%
30 PRIMUS Nazir - - - 1% 10% 44% 45%
30 EYBELMAN Ariel - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
32 TSE Aiden J - 1% 5% 22% 40% 29% 3%
33 HWANG Jayden - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 29%
34 WEI Rian - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
35 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 1% 9% 29% 42% 20%
36 HUBLALL Ethan - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
37 NGO Maximus - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
38 MEHAN Nicholas - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
39 SUN Andrew - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
40 SUBA Lucas - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 3%
41 PATEL Rayn - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
42 SO Preston - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
43 LIN Maxim - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
44 LI Yiwei - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
45 CHOW William T. - 1% 9% 24% 35% 25% 7%
46 LIN Philip T. - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 10%
47 HOLZ Lucas 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9% -
48 YERRAMILLI Tejas - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
49 ZHENG LEON - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
50 CAO Oliver - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
51 CHAN Henry - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21% 2%
52 HENDERSON Lucas 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
53 MUNGUIA Nathan - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
54 KIM Ethan - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
55 CHUNG Connor - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
56 MEYERSON Jacob - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
57 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
58 SUGIURA Samuel - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
59 ALAVE Kyle - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
60 XU Ivan - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
61 KERCHER Alexander 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
62 ZHAO Lucas - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
63 TSAO Oliver - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
64 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
65 LIN Felix - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
66 ATWOOD Griffin - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
67 OH Aster - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
68 GONG Jerry - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
69 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
70 YAN William - - - 5% 21% 43% 30%
71 QI HAORAN - - 1% 5% 23% 47% 24%
72 CHEN Samuel - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 14%
73 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
74 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
74 ANAND Rohan - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
76 RADJABLI Maximillian 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
77 AYDOGDU Hakan 1% 7% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
78 GERSTMANN Max T. - - 5% 21% 40% 28% 6%
79 KUSHKOV Daniel - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
79 WANG Daniel - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
81 ALMEDA Stanislav 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
82 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
83 SANGSTER Arden 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
84 MATTOO Deven - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
85 SIDDIQUI Shayan - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
86 NARDINI Nathanael P. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
86 ANDRES Michael - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
86 ZHOU William - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
89 GONG zihao - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
89 LEE Brady 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
91 CLARK Gabriel 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
91 SINGHAL Armaan 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
93 WANG Max 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
94 UEMOTO Ken 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
95 LIGH Checed 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
96 SU Landon - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
97 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
98 SRIVATS Vedh 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
99 WANG Jerry 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4% -
100 PRIEUR Christian F. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
101 SAGE Sebastian 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
102 LEE Brian 8% 33% 39% 17% 2% -
103 KIM Kendrick - - 5% 25% 53% 17%
104 LAUB William - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
105 MUNJULURI ruhaan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
106 SHANKWILER Christopher - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
107 TUNG Ryan - 2% 12% 31% 37% 16% 2%
108 LEE Andrew - - 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
109 SAMMI Mukul - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
110 STURGEON Cole - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
111 CHEN Jonathan - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 5%
112 TIAGI George - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1%
113 NGUYEN Anthony - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
114 MISHRA Aadi 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 4% -
114 HAMMERS Neel 1% 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
116 ZHAO Royce 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
116 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
118 GONG Gavin 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
119 BIAN Hongyu - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 10%
120 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
121 WANG Max 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
122 STRUCKER Rocco 21% 39% 29% 10% 1% - -
123 ZENG Vito 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
123 KITSON Chase - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
125 BREUER Daniel 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
125 VO Landon 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
127 WANG Michael 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
128 VILEMAITIS Tadas 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
129 VEDRE Neil 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
130 GUREVICH Benjamin - 5% 24% 42% 26% 3%
131 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
132 LI Seth 1% 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
133 BIVIJI Ali - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
134 FANG Eason 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
135 WANG Will - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
136 PORTER Dupree 6% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
137 CIEMINS Henry 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
137 LAMTAN Christoffer 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
139 GUAN Dennis - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
140 KANG Evan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
141 ZLATINSKI Jason 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
142 YU Casey 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
143 LIU Aaron 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
144 HUNG Samuel 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
145 LI Matthew 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
146 YU Kevin 2% 17% 40% 32% 9% -
147 WONG Max 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
148 XUE Leo 4% 22% 41% 28% 5% -
149 BAI Evan 5% 24% 37% 26% 7% 1%
150 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
151 HO Anson 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
152 GREMILLION Obadiah 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
153 SHINCHUK Daniel 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
154 YOOK Isaac - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
155 DOMINIQUE Remson - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
156 HRISTOV Kris 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
156 AO Christopher 1% 6% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
158 ROSADO Sebastian 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
159 JI Johnson 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
160 LI linze 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
161 BADUSHOV Anton 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
162 BOLLU Viren 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
163 TURNER Benjamin 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
164 LIM Brandon 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
165 AUTREY Adrien 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
166 YOSHEA Henry 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
167 WELSTEAD Nicholas - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
168 DOLEV Ido 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
169 MENDOZA Christian 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
170 LIU Ryan 9% 35% 37% 15% 3% -
171 SARWAHI Viraat 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
171 HUA Michael 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
173 SLIGAR Jackson 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
174 ANUMULA Aryan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
175 LIU Ethan 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
176 SOKOLOV Arseniy 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
177 LIU Leyi 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
178 SAKAYEDA Jacob 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
178 HUANG Caleb 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
180 SZULIM Lucjan 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
181 WITCZAK Mateus 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
182 ONG Dylan 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
183 ROSALES Vincent 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
184 ANAND Rishab - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
185 WINTERSET Mason 5% 34% 41% 17% 3% - -
186 PINTO Marcus - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
187 KWON Kenneth 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
188 ZWAKA Jonas 8% 37% 37% 15% 3% - -
189 SADHU Neiyam 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
189 JAIN Karanvir 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
189 LI Cooper 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
192 LEIGH Edward 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
192 RAMANI Ari 65% 29% 5% - - - -
194 LEE Griffin 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
194 CHI Everett 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
196 HIBINO Uta 4% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
197 ZHANG Kevin 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
198 WASCO Andrew 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
199 BEKDJANOV Arthur 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
200 CHAN Elliott 20% 40% 29% 9% 2% - -
200 ZHU Matthew 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
202 WONG David 4% 27% 42% 22% 5% - -
203 LIU Guanyu 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
204 COBIAN Richard 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
205 YANG Phillip - 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
206 BARENBOYM Michael 7% 35% 39% 16% 3% -
207 SCHIMEL Luke 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
208 SHINCHUK Jacob 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
209 BALU Aedan 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
210 VALENCIA Jose 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
211 KIARA Kinoti 4% 19% 35% 28% 12% 2% -
212 PEREIRA Beckham 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
212 VOSPER James 27% 46% 22% 4% - - -
214 KIM Yusung 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
215 CRAIN Bennett 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
216 YIK HOI Li 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
217 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
217 SALMAN Hamzah 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
217 KANG Matthew - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
217 KU Collin 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
221 ZHANG Ray 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
222 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
223 PARKILA Lukas 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
223 IYER Neil 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
225 HO Nathaniel 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
225 XIAO Brayden 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
227 LI Ayden 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
228 CHAWLA Abhishek 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
228 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
230 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
230 LIU Andrew 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
232 LOO Jason 6% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
233 MCDONALD Finn 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
233 BALE ATMAN 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
235 POLISETTI Pranav 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
236 FIROOZI Sam 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
237 LIEBOWITZ Carson 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
237 NAMBIAR Navin 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
239 CHIEN Nolan 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
240 NARUT Oscar 37% 44% 17% 3% - - -
241 TIAN Zimo 66% 29% 4% - - - -
241 SU Kingston 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
243 TANI Tino 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
244 SALDARINI Glenn 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
245 LAZARTE Gabriel 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
246 WONG Caleb W. 5% 25% 42% 24% 4% -
246 TAN Ryan 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
248 HALL Noah 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
248 FENG Brendan 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% - -
250 XU James 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
251 KOGAN Yelisey L. 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
251 SEELMAN Cole 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
251 BOSITA Brennan 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
251 RAVOOR Sahas 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
255 DEELY Hartigan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
256 PAUL Jimmy 17% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
256 DE SIENA Salvatore 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
256 GAO Kai 19% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
256 LIM Kai 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
260 LIU Alexander 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
260 CLARK Aram 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
262 LIAO Yifong 45% 41% 13% 2% - -
263 SUNG Julian 4% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
264 YAO Zachary 62% 32% 5% - - -
265 WEISS Toby 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
266 MBERIA Alexander 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.