National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Women's Saber

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - - 2% 21% 77%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
3 GUGALA Hanna - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
3 FAVO Isabella - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
5 FOSS Persephone - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
5 GAUTAM Sahana - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
7 HUAI Delilah - - - - 4% 26% 70%
8 KANG Ellie - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 23%
9 DAMBAL Sasha - - 2% 15% 44% 39%
10 WEI JoyAnn - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
11 MYAT Chloe - - 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
12 FERNANDEZ Martina - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
13 ZENG Sarah - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
14 CHAVAN Arya - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
15 OCA Merci 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
16 HAMMERSTROM Aria - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
17 MUNGUIA Mila - - 3% 18% 43% 30% 5%
18 WANG Callie - - - 3% 16% 40% 39%
19 JOHNSON Aven 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
20 LEOU Korina - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
21 VINOKUR Anita - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
22 LOO Kaitlyn - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 16%
23 LIU Yifei - - - - 5% 31% 64%
24 JIANG Evelyn - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
25 ARNOLD Hali - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
26 DHAR Layla - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
27 SHEARER Alena - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
28 AWAD Royce - 1% 6% 29% 45% 19%
29 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - - 1% 10% 40% 50%
30 GONZALEZ Veronika - - 1% 10% 36% 41% 12%
31 NADKARNI Marisa - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
32 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
33 HSU Leah - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
34 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 10%
34 YUEN Nicole - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
36 FAN Alexandria - 2% 11% 28% 36% 21% 4%
37 KINKADE Ellie - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
38 SUNG Isabella 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% < 1%
39 KIM Satie - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
40 LIU kai yin aria - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
41 BROWN Aria - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18% 2%
42 HAN Emma - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
42 KWON Ava - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 5%
44 BUSH Bethany - - 1% 11% 35% 41% 12%
45 ZHU Avril 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
46 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
47 WANG Jiayi - 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
48 STONE Coral - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
49 CONG Anne - - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11%
50 CHAMI Lana 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
51 ZHAI AMY - 1% 9% 28% 40% 20% 2%
52 MEYERSON Michelle - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
52 GONG Joy - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
54 SCHMIDT Isabel - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
55 LIN Elaine - - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
56 SEBASTIAN Ava 1% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
57 MALEK Zolie - - 3% 18% 43% 37%
58 BORGUETA Madison - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
59 MCAFEE Jada - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
60 CHANG Annette 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
61 LIU Hannah - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
62 CHIANG Melissa - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
63 MAK Jayden 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
64 FLEEGER Sophia 9% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
65 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
66 GENTILE Vittoria 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
67 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
68 BERMAN greta - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
69 CHEN Victoria 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
70 LEI Zitong (Meya) - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
70 MACKAY Katherine - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
72 MERMEGAS Olivia - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
73 KIM Karen - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
74 WANG JiaQi - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
75 STADNIK Emilia 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
76 BLAKE Anna 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
77 MAK Kaitlin - 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 3%
78 LUKER Hannah - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
78 MISHEV Lila 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
80 VISWANATHAN Nishka - 6% 23% 40% 25% 6% -
81 SUNG Olivia - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
82 HU Anna - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
83 KAUL Tara - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 1%
84 CHEN Elaine - 3% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
85 HSIEH Lucia 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
86 KURAEVA Vasilisa - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
87 SHMULER Fiona - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
88 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - 2% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
89 ZHANG Ashley - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
90 LI Miranda 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
91 GUHA Surabhi 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
92 CAO arissa 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
93 JACHYMIAK Emilia 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
94 ZHAO Selena 7% 31% 41% 18% 3% -
95 KWON Hannah 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
96 YU Stella 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
97 HUANG Neila 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
98 TA-ZHOU Emma - 3% 14% 31% 34% 17% 2%
98 NANDA Maanika 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
100 GAY Sasha - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
101 FENG Alicia G. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
102 MOON Claire 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
103 DUTA Lyra 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
103 ZONG Eliane 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
105 LIN Annika - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
106 LONG Jessie 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
107 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
107 GALLAGHER Isabella 7% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
109 LAFFY Lily 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
110 PARK Haylie - 6% 31% 39% 20% 4% -
110 IANNUZZI Lucy - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
112 ILAGAN Ava 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
112 TONG Laurie 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
114 KU Alathea-Joy - 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
115 XIAÖ Cindy - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
116 BERRIOS Catalina 1% 13% 39% 34% 11% 1%
117 YANNOPOULOS Pompie - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
118 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
119 MULLER Inara 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
120 CHOI Charlotte - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
121 NIU Jessica - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
122 BARNES Sarah 14% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
123 LIU Hannah - 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% -
124 NING Lynn 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
125 XU Elaine 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
126 WONG Natalie 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
127 CHERON Helene 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
128 LU QIWEN 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
129 DANTULURI Shalini - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
130 REN Katherine 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
131 YU Skylar 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
132 JOSHI Samika 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
133 SINGER Ellery - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
134 ROOPRAI Amarjot 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
135 FUNG Iris - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
135 AKULA Roszlynn 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
137 TIAN Cynthia - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
138 YERENKOVA Ameliia 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
139 DHAR Rana - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
140 LEE Kaitlin 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
141 MEADE Kaia G. 19% 46% 28% 6% - - -
142 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 6% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
143 HUANG Pierra 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
144 SENGUPTA Jia - 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
145 KIM Saeren 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
146 HILD Anya 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
147 WANG Emily 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
147 VATS Ishita 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
149 TA-ZHOU Sophia 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
150 MERCHANT Aishwarya - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 12%
150 ROBBINS Adele 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
152 LEIGH Adalene 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
153 CASTELO Soleil 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
154 WILLIAMSON Morgan 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% - -
154 WONG Charlene 1% 8% 31% 41% 17% 3% -
156 WONG Cerise 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
157 ASPIRAS Avery 24% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
158 LAUREYNS Ainsley 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
158 WILFRET Katerina 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
160 FRAZIER Chloe 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
160 KIM Alexia 6% 34% 39% 17% 4% - -
162 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 12% 48% 31% 8% 1% - -
163 DESAUTELS Alexandra 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
164 YADAV Tishya 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
165 BAIK Sarah 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
166 KIM Audrey 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
167 KIM Grace 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
168 CHOWDHERY Myra 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
169 CHIU Philippa 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
170 WANG Tina 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
171 KWON Ava 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
171 HWANG Charlotte 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
171 JUNG Sienna 10% 56% 28% 5% - - -
174 HU Heidi 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
175 KANG Soeun 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
176 NGUYEN Summer 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 10% 1%
177 ENG Madeleine 9% 38% 36% 14% 3% - -
178 SHEN Emily 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
178 ZAWADA Milena 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
180 BIESIADA Sophia 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
181 ZHANG Olivia 2% 18% 42% 30% 7% 1% -
182 LONG Chloe 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
183 ELIASIK Josephine 4% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
184 RIGBY Ellie 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
185 KHAN Ayah 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
186 KIRBY Skye 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
187 REYNOLDS CHANG Anna 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
188 SUN Angela 57% 36% 7% 1% - - -
188 STAPLEY Claire 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
190 LIANG Claire 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
191 MERRITT Annabelle 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
191 WEST Mia 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
193 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 43% 43% 13% 1% - - -
194 STANLEY Garance 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
194 LEE Grace 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
196 KU Chloe 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
197 MALVESTUTO Prudence 62% 32% 6% - - - -
197 LAI Karen 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
199 KO Ariel 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
200 DOLEV Rony 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
201 PATIL Jyothi 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
202 FINN Lucy 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
203 RAJAGOPALAN Dhanya 3% 21% 48% 26% 3% -
204 NARAYANAN Sinduja 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
204 KONZEN Iris 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
204 KAZA Aditi 77% 21% 1% - - - -
207 PANCHAL Arya 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
208 KAZA Ananya 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
209 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
210 BAO Amelia 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -
211 ELLINGWOOD Sophia 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
212 ORR Noelle 64% 32% 4% - - - -
213 SIDERI Sophia 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.