National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-40 Men's Foil

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
2 JAN Stephen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
3 RADU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 24%
3 MORENO BRIONES Patricio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 69%
5 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
6 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
7 ZHAO Zhiyong 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
8 LANE Mitchell D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 11%
9 FLANAGAN James 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
10 BROWN Jason 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
11 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 100% 100% 96% 65% 22% 3%
12 STOY Patrick 100% 50% 12% 2% < 1% - -
13 PHO Eric 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
14 MONES jesse 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
15 LA BARR Edward T. 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
16 BASS Nathan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
17 PASHBY Stephen N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 61% 7% -
18 RODRIGUEZ VINCENT 100% 97% 70% 12% 1% - -
19 CHECKEYE Daniel J. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
20 TOMASI John 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
21 WU Geoffrey 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
22 GREEN Michael C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 74% 29% 4%
23 DERBY Joshua (Josh) C. 100% 100% 100% 93% 38% 3% -
24 WILLIAMS Brian 100% 68% 14% 1% - - -
25 BABER Ijlal 100% 99% 79% 14% 1% - -
26 MCGINTY Eli G. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
27 DE BARROS CONTI Thibaut 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
28 LEE David S. 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
29 WU Jingxiao 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
30 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 55% 10% - - - -
31 REED David 100% 61% 8% - - - -
32 CHANDLEE Thomas 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
33 FRASER Justin 100% 55% 8% - - - -
34 GUERRERO Gonzalo 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.