National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Saber

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 KIM Kendrick - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
3 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - - 2% 19% 80%
3 HWANG Jayden - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
5 GONZALEZ Jake - - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
6 NG Jonathan - - - - 6% 31% 63%
7 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
8 PATEL Rayn - - - - 4% 27% 69%
9 SO Preston - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
10 LIN Maxim - - - - 5% 29% 65%
11 WANG Zhuoyi - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
12 WANG Justin - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
13 KIM Ethan - - - 1% 6% 30% 64%
14 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
15 KIM ELIJAH - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
16 YANG Phillip - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 5%
17 ERMAKOV Semeon - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
17 PASTORE LIU Vince - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
19 CHUNG Connor - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
20 WONG David - 7% 25% 38% 24% 6% < 1%
21 MUNGUIA Nathan - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
22 CLARK Aram - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 8%
23 MATTOO Deven - - 1% 5% 23% 44% 28%
23 HOLZ Lucas - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
25 TSE Aiden J - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
26 SAMMI Mukul - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
27 STURGEON Cole - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
28 YOOK Isaac - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
29 LIU Kevin - - - 2% 13% 40% 44%
30 ZHAO Lucas - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
31 WANG Max - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
32 SOKOLOV Arseniy 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
33 LI Howard - - - - 1% 17% 81%
34 BIVIJI Ali - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
35 ZENG Vito - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
36 HUANG Alex F. - - - - 2% 20% 77%
37 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
37 CHAN Henry - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
37 YU Casey - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 3%
40 WEI Rian - 1% 8% 25% 39% 25% 2%
40 LI linze - 3% 13% 30% 35% 18% 2%
42 CAO Oliver - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
43 LI Ayden - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 12%
44 ANDRES Michael - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
45 WANG Daniel - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
46 CAO Donald 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 1%
47 VALENCIA Jose - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
48 VAID Luke - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
49 KANG Matthew - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
50 MEYERSON Jacob - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
51 GONG Gavin 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
52 WEI William 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
53 HUA Michael - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
54 ZHANG Kaixuan - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
55 MEADE Liam R. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% -
56 KANG Evan R. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
57 ALAVE Kyle - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
58 ZHOU William - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
59 CIEMINS Henry - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
60 WANG Max - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
61 BOSITA Brennan - 3% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
62 LIAO Yifong 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% - -
63 KIARA Kinoti 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
64 BALE ATMAN - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
65 BADMUS Joshua 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% < 1%
66 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - - 1% 5% 24% 44% 26%
67 LIN Philip T. - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
68 KITSON Chase - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
69 SALMAN Hamzah - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4%
70 SANCHEZ Jacob - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10%
71 LEE Andrew - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 19%
72 WONG Lucas - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
73 GAY Jono - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
74 KOZLOV Lucas - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
75 BERKOWITZ Gavin - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
76 NGO Maximus - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
77 IM Tyler - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
78 HARDRICK Noah 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
79 XU Ivan 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
80 LIU Ethan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
81 XIAO Brayden 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 8% 1%
82 GREMILLION Obadiah - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
83 JOO Jeein - - - - 5% 29% 65%
83 KWON Kenneth - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
85 HUANG Caleb 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
86 XUE Leo 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
87 LIU Aaron - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
88 ZWAKA Jonas 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 2% -
89 BURKE Sam 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
90 TANI Tino - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
91 KHANNA Adamantis - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
92 FENG Brendan 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
93 BAI Evan - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
93 WONG Max - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
95 BEKDJANOV Arthur 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
96 KOVACHEV Martin 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
97 KOGAN Yelisey L. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
97 KAYDALIN David 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
99 KROON Landon - 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
100 MANNINO Miller 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
101 CAI fungyu 3% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
102 ANUMULA Aryan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
103 ANAND Rishab - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14%
104 ZHAO Aidan 5% 37% 40% 16% 3% -
105 OH Aster - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
106 SADHU Neiyam - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
107 DOMINIQUE Remson - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
108 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4%
109 BOLLU Viren - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
110 HO Anson - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
111 LUC Linkin 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
112 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
113 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
113 VO Landon 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
115 YU BOWEN - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
116 CHAMBERS Miles - - 1% 6% 24% 45% 25%
117 FANG Eason - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 1%
118 LIN Alex 6% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
119 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
120 DEELY Hartigan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
121 GREENSTEIN Viktor - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 3%
122 SALDARINI Glenn - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
122 DAI Zihou - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
124 HALL Noah 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
125 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
126 AROUNA Ilan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
127 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
128 LEE Brian 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% -
129 NARDINI Nathanael P. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 14%
130 ZHANG KAIQI - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
131 PARKILA Lukas - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
132 WANG Tiger - 5% 25% 40% 24% 5%
133 CHENHE YuHan - 1% 4% 18% 36% 33% 8%
134 GUREVICH Benjamin - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 7%
135 KETT Richard 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
136 NAMBIAR Navin 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
137 LIU ERIC 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
138 KANG Jeremy - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
139 KOZLOFF Wyatt - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
140 LIU Daniel 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
141 ZHAO Royce - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
142 JI Johnson 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
143 SAYAR Luke 4% 22% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
144 SANGSTER Arden - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
145 BALU Aedan 1% 8% 27% 36% 23% 6% -
146 SRIVATS Vedh - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
146 LEE Nathan Uju 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
148 ZHU Matthew 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
149 LEE Griffin - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
150 LOO Jason - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
151 SARWAHI Viraat 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
152 ROSALES Vincent 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
153 AVERY Marcus 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
153 LUC Cedric - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
155 BREUER Daniel - 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
155 HWANG Hagan - - 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
157 LORENZ Evan 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
158 SUNG Julian - 4% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
158 RINALDI Savio 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
158 SOROKIN Egor 1% 20% 39% 29% 10% 1% -
161 SLIGAR Jackson - 2% 9% 27% 38% 22% 2%
161 MINASIAN Mason 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
163 LIU Ryan 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
164 TASIKAS Peter 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
165 SO Morgan 3% 16% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
166 ONUGHA II Emeka 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
167 HIBINO Uta 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
168 HU Harry - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
169 NAYAGAM Nishant 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
170 ZHANG Ray 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
170 ZLATINSKI Jason - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
170 SU Kingston 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
173 WELSTEAD Nicholas - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
174 CHI Everett 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
175 SAGE Nikolai 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
175 BURGESS Beckham - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
177 SEELMAN Cole 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
178 CHEN Shawn 4% 36% 39% 17% 4% - -
179 WINTERSET Mason 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
180 ENGLE Aidric 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
181 NGUYEN Dylan Kwon 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
182 HENRY Cadel 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
183 KARAVAS Nicholas 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
184 HU Jayden 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
185 MATTOO Dhruv 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
186 EZZELL Alexander 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
187 AGARWAAL Yohan 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2%
188 KHOTLINE Daniel 38% 41% 17% 3% - -
189 TANG Morgan - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
190 LIU Victor - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
191 YOSHEA Henry - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
192 KIM Yusung 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
193 FADEL Alexander - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
194 TURNER Benjamin 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
195 TSENG Cooper 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
196 LIEBOWITZ Carson 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
197 GU Kevin 4% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
198 LIU Jayden 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
199 KIM Samuel 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
200 GRIGORIEV Roman - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
201 BARENBOYM Michael 1% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
202 ZHANG Lucas 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
202 LI Cooper 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
204 CRAWFORD William 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
204 KU Collin 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
206 RAJMOHAN Arya 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
206 BECHTEL Trent - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
206 SWIFT Owen - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
206 WONG Ron 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
210 CHANG Timothy 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
211 LEE Brady 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
212 IYER Neil - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
213 HONG Arick 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
214 GORDON Samuel 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
215 MCDONALD Finn - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
215 LOSQUADRO Joseph 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
217 SEPUCHA Sam 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
217 LIN Patrick 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 6% 1%
219 LEE Damian 33% 44% 20% 4% - - -
219 YUEN Caleb 2% 15% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
221 ROH Jaden 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
222 LIU Guanyu 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
223 ONG Dylan 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
224 SOULES-ONO Makoa 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
224 VO Blake 5% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
226 TUNIK Joshuah 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
227 DOSTAL Maximilian 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
228 MERMEGAS Alexander 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
229 LEMERY Marc 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
230 MIAO Heqi 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
230 MUTYALA Kavin 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
232 LAMTAN Christoffer - 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
233 DE SIENA Salvatore 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
234 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
235 SLAVNOV Anton 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
236 COGLIANO Max 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
236 RAMANI Ari 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
238 CHAWLA Abhishek 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
239 D'AMELJ Edoardo 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
239 CHEN Cooper 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
241 LUCAS William 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
242 TSAO Alister 2% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
242 SRIVATSAV Anay 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
244 YAO Zachary 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
245 LI Ryan 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
246 LI Andrew 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
247 HERRERA Stefano 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
248 OLSON Kai 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
248 YANG Byron 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
250 SHEYNZON Benjamin 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
251 WANG Alex 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% -
251 NAFTALI Ori 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
251 SUH Leo 8% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
251 ROBINSON Ezra 7% 31% 40% 19% 4% - -
255 YU Gordon 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
255 EKAMBARAM Nikhil 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
257 HAUSLER Jayden 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
258 LIEBISCH Milo 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
258 TAYCHER Aaron 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
258 MBERIA Alexander 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
261 KANIA Alexander - 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
261 IRVINE Patrick 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
263 LIANG Preston 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
263 BEVANS Auden 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
265 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
266 SONG Aidan 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
267 ABADA lucca 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
268 LIAO Sirui 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
268 CHAN Troy 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
270 BROOKS Drake 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
271 LIN Brendan 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% 1%
272 NAIR Sujit 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
273 GU Andrew 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
274 SMITH William 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
274 PAK Andrew 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
276 BRAMLETT Myer 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
276 WU Vincent 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
276 GUO Jonathan 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
276 PADANILAM Thomas 80% 19% 1% - - - -
280 PAUL Jimmy 11% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
280 LAU Kyrus 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
280 ZHANG Joseph 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
280 XIE Andrew 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
284 TEE Benjamin 76% 22% 2% - - -
285 GAO Kai 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
285 SULLIVAN Gerard 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
285 KAAKEH Mohammad 91% 8% - - - - -
288 BESSELMAN Noah 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
288 OREN Daniel 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
288 WESTMORELAND-BROWN Cole 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
288 KAMURA Kosei 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
292 HAN Kyle 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
293 LEE Blake 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
293 BUCKLEY Owen 4% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
295 LEE Ezra 61% 32% 7% 1% - - -
295 HOLMES Xavier 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
297 BRADIC Andreja 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
297 VISH Manyu 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
297 HWANG Evan 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.