National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Chloe - - - - - 6% 94%
2 JOO Natalie - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 FENG Grace - - - - 1% 15% 84%
3 DUAN Sophie - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
5 PARK Zena - - - - 6% 34% 60%
6 WANG Joanna - - - - 1% 19% 80%
7 LI Alice - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
8 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
9 BING Charlotte - - - - 4% 28% 68%
10 PUTHOFF Olivia - - - 2% 17% 52% 28%
11 ZOU Ella - - - - 1% 14% 86%
12 LIU Ariana - - 2% 14% 39% 37% 7%
13 WANG Amabel - - - 2% 19% 79%
14 TAO Ann - - - 1% 10% 36% 53%
15 LI Savannah - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
16 YIN Chloe - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 8%
17 BROWN Lola - - - - 3% 26% 70%
18 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
19 HARRIS Julia - - - - 3% 26% 71%
19 ORRINGER Lottie - - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
21 LUO Miranda - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
22 LIU Enjia sherry - - - - 2% 24% 74%
23 KIM Sydney - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
24 NEUMANN Erika - 4% 15% 31% 33% 16% 2%
25 KIM Lauren - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 7%
26 YACOBUCCI Nadia - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
27 CULLIVAN Sienna - - - 2% 11% 40% 47%
28 FIELD Elizabeth - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
29 KRAHE Annika - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
30 LI Joy - - - 2% 11% 37% 51%
31 ZEE Savannah - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
32 WANG Doreen - - 3% 16% 40% 33% 8%
33 MCSHERRY Kayla - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
34 CAO Amelie - 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
35 HSIAO Ariya - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
36 MCFARLANE Asha - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
37 CAI Ilana - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
38 THERON Zoe - - 1% 8% 31% 43% 18%
38 MAGALLANES GABRIELA - - - 1% 8% 44% 48%
40 HUANG Natalie - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
40 ROBERTS Anastasia - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
42 ZHANG Gwenyth - - 4% 18% 40% 33% 5%
43 HOM Avery - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
43 MUMMANENI Samyuta - - - 1% 6% 34% 59%
45 HUGHES Liv - 1% 10% 29% 39% 19% 2%
46 WU Elynna - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
47 SAH Madeleine - - 4% 19% 41% 29% 6%
48 XIA Isabella - 3% 17% 40% 30% 9% 1%
49 KOU Elisha - - 4% 17% 37% 35% 8%
50 KNAPP Isabella - - 4% 18% 40% 33% 4%
51 CHANG Olivia - 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
52 YU Sophie - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
53 YAO Abby - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
54 EPSTEIN Naomi 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
55 BO Iris - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
56 SHAOOLIAN Maya - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
57 XU Sevilla - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
58 FOX Arcadia - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 3%
59 RUI Jessie - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
60 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - - 3% 19% 42% 31% 4%
61 EYER Brooke - - - 6% 31% 59% 3%
62 FAN Sophia 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
63 WATSON Evelyn - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
64 SAMALA Reese - 4% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
65 DOUGLAS Addison - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
66 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
67 LIN Yunong - - 5% 22% 42% 27% 4%
68 HAN Mia - - 1% 9% 39% 44% 7%
69 CHO Karis 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
70 CHAN Mila - - 4% 19% 40% 33% 3%
71 LAI Miranda - 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 2%
72 SHIN Elizabeth - - 4% 24% 45% 24% 2%
73 MALIK Manha - 6% 23% 41% 27% 3%
74 LI Sophia 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
75 HOROWITZ Shuli - - 2% 15% 42% 37% 4%
76 ARYA Leela 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
77 ZHANG Vivian - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
78 HSU Emily - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
78 BOIKE Lucille - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 8%
80 DE CASTRO Kai - - 4% 21% 42% 30% 2%
81 SINGH Evangelina - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
81 NWODO Naila - 1% 10% 33% 40% 16% 1%
83 DINAR Julia 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5% -
84 HU Sophie - 1% 7% 27% 41% 22% 2%
85 FANG Kelervia - - 3% 19% 40% 30% 6%
86 ZHANG Queeny - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8% -
87 ZHU Ella - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
88 PARK Lauren - - 1% 9% 33% 45% 12%
88 JENA Aanvi 2% 14% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
90 CHAN Jolene - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
91 OS Danielle - - 4% 20% 45% 27% 3%
92 LEE Zoe E. - 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 1%
93 MIYOSHI Kylie - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
93 LIM Kensie 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
95 BYK Karalina - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
96 CHANG Lydia - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
97 PARANJAPE Ojasvi 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
98 HUFFMAN Yunia - 8% 31% 41% 18% 2% -
99 LU Keeva 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 4% -
100 WANG DINA C. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
101 TELEB Farida 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
102 ZAHRAN Emily - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
103 RIVERA Leahy 2% 14% 35% 36% 13% 1%
104 PECK Madeleine - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
105 CHAN Ella - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
105 LIU Ashley - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
107 CHOI Cara 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
108 LI Christina 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
109 GOITIA Genevieve 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
110 XING Melly - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
111 BAULIN Zoya - 4% 21% 44% 27% 5% -
112 FEDER Acadia - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
113 REILLY Carys 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
114 ZHAO Olivia - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10% -
115 CHENG Audrey 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
116 LLOYD Bianca 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
116 JAZWINSKI Ivy - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
116 THOTA Akira 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
119 AHN Hayley 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% - -
120 VENZON Makena Jane 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
121 KIM Natalie 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
122 ZHOU Joi - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
123 DUVVA Sanika 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
124 JOO Sara - 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 1%
125 WU Allison - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
126 YANG Olivia 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
127 ZHANG Selina 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
128 SMOLICH Emily 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
129 FRASER Morgan - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 8%
130 SCHULTZ Sumi - 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
131 KENSICKI Phoebe - 3% 17% 35% 33% 12%
132 MARTIN Sloan - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
133 FENG Claire - 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
134 NICOLETTI Thea 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
135 LI Olivia - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
136 SHUSTA Lily 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
137 SAIFEE Zahra - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
138 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24% 2%
139 DESAI Zoya 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
140 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
140 WU Charlotte 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
142 BENNETT Emi - 5% 23% 43% 23% 5% -
143 HO Peyton 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 1% -
144 LUCAS Ava 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
145 XU Charlene 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
146 ESMONDE-WHITE Daphne 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
147 HAFEZ Sahar - 2% 14% 38% 39% 8% -
148 BALIN Sophia 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
149 LIGERET Stella - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
150 XI Sophia 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2% -
151 KOESTERS Florentine 7% 28% 39% 22% 4% - -
152 CHAN Kaitlyn 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
153 CHUNG Stella 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
154 HSU Rachel 3% 19% 38% 30% 8% -
155 TANG Amelia 24% 42% 26% 8% 1% -
155 HEMPHILL Mia 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% -
157 ZHANG Zoey - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15% 1%
158 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
159 ZHILKOV Anya 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
160 YUNG Zoe 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
161 MURPHY Genevieve - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 2%
161 KIM Alison 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
163 SFINTESCU Emma - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
163 LEO Jenna 2% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
165 SAIFEE Sakina 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
165 LI Emma Jing 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% - -
165 GE Deanna - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
168 LIU Celia 12% 33% 35% 17% 3% - -
169 RAFFAELE Nancy 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2% -
169 SHUTZER Lily 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
171 LIN Avery 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
172 BELL Blake 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
173 LING Camryn 1% 9% 31% 38% 17% 3% -
173 PHAN Logan 2% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
173 BHANGOO Paloma 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
173 HO Chloe 16% 46% 31% 7% 1% - -
177 GOODMAN Carden 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
177 STERNAD Pia 9% 41% 36% 12% 1% - -
179 PAEK Mila 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
180 LIN Claire - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
181 KIM Gia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
182 OTTAVIANO Maris 1% 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
183 ZHANG Viviana - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
184 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
185 SHANG Arianna 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
186 CLEMMER-BECHT Elise 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
186 GOWDA Siyona 32% 46% 19% 3% - - -
188 LALONDE Beatrice 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
189 KOESTERS Cecilie 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
190 HUSSAIN Maya 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
190 KIM Audrey 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
192 LAU Victoria 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
193 LIN Athena 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
194 KLESERT Elizabeth 29% 45% 23% 4% - - -
195 CHOI Lydia 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
196 ZHENG Annalyn 12% 39% 35% 13% 2% -
197 LEE Eun-Hae 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
198 LEE Lauren Jinju 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 1% -
199 DVOIRIS Maya 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
200 ZHANG Elizabeth 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3% -
201 KUTATELADZE Anna 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% - -
202 ETIKALA Saanvi 24% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -
203 CESAIRE Giselle 24% 41% 26% 7% 1% - -
204 SAVIOZ Naomi 4% 23% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
204 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
206 MACKINTOSH Quinn 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
207 YU Xintong 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
208 HUDSON Sophie 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
209 IRELAND Moira 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
210 YUEN Kaitlyn 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% - -
210 BEHL Alessandra 10% 41% 36% 11% 2% - -
212 JEANSON Sierra 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
213 CHU Lauren 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
214 CHIN Riley 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
214 HOM Emma 4% 26% 44% 21% 4% - -
216 PARK Emily 17% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
217 LI Doreen 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
218 REDEMANN Reagan 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
218 LIU Mia 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -
220 LIANG Jasmine 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
220 CHAVEZ Beatrix 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
222 WARBURTON Eleanor 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
223 CHUN Ami 26% 47% 22% 4% - - -
224 DONG Katelyn 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
225 KO Adeline 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
226 JOESUF Thea 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
227 KHETPAL Aalia 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% 1% -
228 LIM Kora 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
229 ZHOU Jolena 7% 28% 39% 22% 4% - -
230 LI Audrey 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
231 FORT Eliana 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
231 YARLAGADDA Smaya 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% - -
233 CULLIVAN Elise 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
234 MORENO Alexsis 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
235 HOLLIS Priscillia 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
235 CHEN Elysia 43% 41% 13% 2% - -
237 ZHANG Hannah 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
238 ZHANG Caroline 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
238 LYNCH Kathryn 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
238 OLSON Linnea 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
238 KIM Phoebe 64% 30% 6% - - - -
238 SUN Nicole 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
243 EVOLA Samantha 9% 34% 40% 15% 2% - -
244 WELTER Gemma 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
244 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 61% 33% 6% - - - -
246 WANG Ellen 37% 46% 15% 2% - - -
247 SCHWARTZ Sophie 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
247 JOESUF Aurielle 19% 43% 30% 8% 1% - -
247 FENG Christy 58% 35% 6% - - - -
247 YU-TAN Claire 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
251 BAMBUCK-VASQUEZ Charlotte 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
251 XIE Sophia 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
253 YANG Byanca 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
253 OWENS Genevieve 26% 47% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.