Nutmeg State Games

Senior Men's Saber

Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUMOULIN Gabriel - 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
2 WITCZAK Mateus - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
3 RAMIREZ Nicholas 7% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
3 LIBBY Benjamin 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% -
5 LIU Isaak - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
6 CHENG Brandon - - 6% 25% 44% 25%
7 HOWARD Demani 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
8 DIMATTEO Michael - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
9 DESAUTELS Connor - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
10 TSAO Alister 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 2%
11 BOWEN Brock - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
12 DJONOUMA Toyohm - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
13 KOCKELMAN Zeno - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
14 WONG Vincent 1% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1%
15 QUAIL Jonathan 1% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
16 COFFIN Carleton 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% -
17 DESAUTELS Jonathan < 1% 2% 13% 40% 35% 9%
18 MACLEAN Lachlan 81% 18% 1% - - -
19 FRISBEE John 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.