USA Fencing International Regional Circuit Wuxi

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, August 3, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Wuxi Taihu International Exhibition Center A4 Hall - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHANG Yixin	-	-	2%	27%	48%	23%
2	XU Muyao	-	-	3%	22%	47%	27%
3	YANG Judy	-	-	-	6%	28%	44%	21%
3	SHIN SE EUN	-	-	2%	16%	44%	35%	4%
5	LEE SO HYUNG	-	-	-	11%	37%	39%	13%
6	HE Yunxi	-	-	2%	13%	34%	37%	14%
7	LIU ZiMo	-	7%	27%	37%	23%	6%	-
8	SONG THIRIET Haylin	-	-	4%	16%	34%	34%	12%
9	GONG Hai	-	7%	26%	37%	23%	6%	1%
10	XU Sevilla	-	1%	7%	29%	47%	15%	1%
11	DUAN Muchen	-	-	1%	6%	25%	44%	25%
12	HUANG xichen	-	-	-	1%	6%	32%	61%
13	RUI Jessie	5%	36%	41%	16%	2%	-	-
14	DENG Gaowa	-	1%	10%	36%	39%	13%	1%
15	ZHANG Vivian	1%	13%	39%	34%	12%	2%	-
16	HE Yingrong	-	3%	16%	34%	32%	13%	2%
17	SONG Seanna	-	-	1%	9%	34%	41%	15%
18	PAN Sara	-	1%	5%	20%	35%	30%	10%
19	JI Junpeng	-	1%	13%	38%	37%	11%
20	LIU Jingran	-	3%	18%	36%	31%	11%	1%
21	WANG Zitong	-	6%	21%	35%	27%	10%	1%
22	ZHANG YIMEI	-	10%	32%	36%	17%	3%	-
23	WANG XU RAN	-	3%	16%	37%	34%	10%	-
24	ANWEILER Megan	15%	38%	34%	12%	1%	-	-
25	LIU Celia	40%	44%	15%	2%	-	-	-
26	WANG Ada	31%	45%	21%	4%	-	-	-
27	LIANG Heather	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	4%
28	LI Emma Jing	24%	44%	26%	6%	1%	-	-
29	ZHAO Yuexi	1%	21%	51%	23%	3%	-
30	AI Mirabelle	46%	42%	11%	1%	-	-
31	SHEN Caleb	3%	18%	37%	32%	10%	1%	-
32	WEI Sarah	3%	17%	33%	31%	14%	3%	-
33	ZHENG Tianwen	1%	8%	25%	35%	24%	7%	1%
34	LEO Jenna	23%	62%	15%	1%	-	-
35	CHEN Aimee	-	4%	15%	30%	32%	17%	3%
36	LIN Yuxi	4%	20%	34%	28%	12%	2%	-
37	MA Sophia	48%	41%	10%	1%	-	-	-
37	CHEN bridgette	37%	45%	16%	2%	-	-	-
39	CHEN Yinuo	8%	33%	38%	18%	4%	-	-
39	LU yiwen	1%	9%	31%	39%	18%	3%	-
41	JIAAI Cao	3%	17%	32%	31%	14%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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