USA Fencing International Regional Circuit Wuxi

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, August 4, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Wuxi Taihu International Exhibition Center A4 Hall - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	ZHAO Nathan	-	-	1%	10%	41%	48%
2	ZHENG HAOXI SAMSON	-	-	-	3%	22%	54%	21%
3	ZHAO Ziheng	-	-	6%	31%	47%	16%
3	CHEN yiming	-	-	6%	32%	44%	17%
5	CHEUNG Houston	-	3%	13%	32%	36%	15%
6	ZHENG HAOKANG SAMUEL	-	6%	28%	43%	20%	3%
7	LI Zecheng	-	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%
8	ZHANG Haochen	-	-	4%	19%	41%	35%
9	LI Jayden Haolin	27%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-
10	JING Jeremy	4%	30%	47%	18%	1%	-
11	DU Evan	-	5%	20%	35%	29%	10%	1%
12	ZHANG diwen	-	1%	15%	38%	35%	11%
13	ZHENG SAILON	-	-	1%	23%	55%	21%
14	LU TONGYAO	-	5%	32%	41%	19%	3%
15	ZIHAO QIU	1%	7%	28%	41%	21%	3%
16	CHENG Zilang	3%	18%	38%	32%	10%	-
17	WANG jinghang	-	-	4%	27%	46%	23%
18	ZHEN LUCAS	-	1%	7%	31%	43%	18%
19	CHAO Hengyuan	6%	29%	43%	20%	3%	-
20	LIU YiGe	-	1%	9%	32%	41%	17%
21	GAO wangyiyang	-	1%	10%	33%	40%	16%
22	HAN Haoning	1%	9%	29%	38%	19%	3%
23	WU Nathan	11%	36%	36%	14%	2%	-
24	MA GEORGE	17%	37%	31%	12%	2%	-
25	KONG Ethan	39%	43%	16%	2%	-	-
26	LU Ian	40%	46%	13%	1%	-	-
27	WEI jiachen	1%	9%	31%	39%	18%	3%
28	WANG Zixuan	-	1%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
29	WANG Juehan	44%	43%	12%	1%	-	-	-
30	张梓锐	6%	37%	42%	15%	1%	-
31	DONG Aiden Yiming	22%	60%	16%	2%	-	-
32	JIANG HANLING	2%	13%	30%	33%	18%	4%	-
33	LIU Andy Peiyan	1%	10%	28%	36%	20%	4%
34	RUAN chengxin	-	-	4%	23%	44%	29%
35	WANG YiSen	-	6%	33%	40%	18%	3%
36	ZHAO Junhui	30%	51%	17%	2%	-	-
37	CHEN Roy	-	5%	38%	44%	11%	1%
38	LU Jayden	63%	33%	3%	-	-	-
39	LIU YULIN	-	11%	32%	36%	17%	3%	-
40	FENGYU Leng	63%	32%	5%	-	-	-
41	WU CHENMIAO	9%	45%	35%	10%	1%	-
42	DENG Domo	8%	29%	37%	21%	5%	-
43	BAI Youcheng	1%	8%	26%	38%	24%	4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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