Event Preview
Junior Olympics + January NACMonday, January 11, 2027 at 12:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3138 | 3200 - 3090 |
| 5 - 8 | 2934 | 3080 - 2844 |
| 9 - 16 | 2744 | 2811 - 2690 |
| 17 - 32 | 2510 | 2628 - 2406 |
| 33 - 64 | 2247 | 2404 - 2137 |
| 65 - 128 | 1869 | 2176 - 1590 |
| 129 - 160 | 1282 | 1760 - 183 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.