Trick or Retreat ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, August 17, 2024 at 2:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Yitong 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
2 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
3 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
3 CAO Sophie 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
5 HANLON Lucy 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
6 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
7 CHI Claire 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
8 BARROSO Isabela 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
9 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
10 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
11 HUANG Pierra 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
12 WONG Charlene 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
13 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
14 ALAMI Amira 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
15 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
16 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
17 NANDA Maanika 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
18 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 91% 59% 21% 3%
19 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
20 VATS Ishita 100% 73% 30% 6% -
21 DUNN Kathryn 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
22 NAYAK Antara 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
23 YOON Sela 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.