Trick or Retreat ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, August 18, 2024 at 1:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 MILLER Dillon 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
3 JURMAN Therin 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
3 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
5 LIM Charlie 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
6 SURESH Rohan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
7 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
8 POLONI Giovanni 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
9 SANTIAGO Elias 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
10 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
11 WADLEY Brendan E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
12 LINDEMANN Marc 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
13 LAO Kevin 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
14 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
15 COGSWELL Michael A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
16 LEE Ethan 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
17 NICOLL James 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
18 BRAVO ORTEGA Estéfano 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
19 SOBON Jason 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
20 NICOLL William 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
21 ABRAMSOHN Seth 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
22 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
23 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
24 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
25 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
26 GALLER Dave 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
27 LIN Lucas 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
28 GREENE Amit 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
29 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
30 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
31 DHANOA Kian 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
32 POWELL Sean 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
33 WEST Nathaniel 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% 1%
34 LIANG Haojia 100% 85% 36% 7% 1% - -
35 CHINN Callum 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
36 MILES Greyson 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
37 POLEPALLI Vinil 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
38 JENKINS Michael 100% 24% 3% - - - -
39 MANLAPAZ Jan Vincent 100% 41% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.