North Texas Roundup SYC/RJCC/Y8

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Dallas Market Hall - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LI Sophia M.	-	-	7%	36%	57%
2	TANG Melody Fujiao	-	1%	10%	32%	40%	16%
3	ORBE-AUSTIN Nia	4%	42%	41%	12%	1%
3	FENG Audrey	-	-	3%	24%	46%	27%
5	PARK Lina	-	-	1%	9%	41%	50%
6	JOHNSON Shelby	-	-	4%	25%	51%	21%
7	MUMMANENI Samyuta	1%	6%	25%	40%	24%	5%
8	PARK Zena	-	-	8%	36%	42%	14%
9	DUAN Sophie	-	-	5%	24%	44%	27%
10	LI Savannah	-	1%	13%	35%	36%	14%	1%
11	WU Chingfei Amber	-	6%	26%	40%	24%	4%
12	LI Joy	-	1%	8%	31%	42%	18%
13	LAI Sophia	-	-	-	-	2%	20%	78%
14	ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya	-	1%	8%	29%	40%	20%	1%
15	CAO Kayla	-	3%	22%	41%	27%	6%
16	MIRZA Sophia	7%	32%	39%	18%	4%	-
17	WANG Sophia	-	-	6%	31%	44%	18%
18	HOROWITZ Shuli	-	2%	15%	37%	34%	11%	1%
19	LI Olivia	1%	18%	40%	31%	10%	1%
20	GE Lena Lan	1%	22%	41%	27%	7%	1%
21	DAVIS Logan	-	-	4%	21%	44%	31%
21	WATSON Evelyn	-	15%	49%	30%	5%	-
23	BROWN Lola	-	-	2%	14%	41%	43%
24	BING Charlotte	-	10%	39%	41%	9%
25	ZHOU Joi	-	3%	22%	40%	28%	7%	-
26	KRAHE Annika	-	4%	22%	40%	28%	6%
27	DESERANNO Seren	-	6%	49%	36%	9%	1%
28	SINGH Evangelina	42%	42%	14%	2%	-	-
29	ALKADI Mai	-	9%	36%	38%	15%	2%
30	ORRINGER Lottie	-	3%	25%	49%	21%	2%
31	LEE Jeemin	6%	28%	40%	21%	5%	-
32	KUTATELADZE Anna	84%	15%	1%	-	-
33	HARRIS Parker	6%	57%	32%	5%	-	-
34	CHERNYKH Elina	1%	18%	46%	31%	5%
35	ALVAREZ Isabella	2%	48%	38%	10%	1%	-
36	MITCHELL Macy	26%	64%	9%	-	-	-
37	RASH Reagan	52%	42%	6%	-	-	-	-
38	BROWN Katelyn	68%	31%	1%	-	-	-
39	TORNBERG Reagan	93%	7%	-	-	-	-
40	TAN Sephora	84%	15%	1%	-	-	-
41	AKINBAMIRO Peluola	30%	55%	14%	1%	-	-	-
42	WU Emma	86%	13%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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