Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
2 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
3 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
5 WONG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
6 BYON Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
7 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
8 GAY Jono 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
9 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
10 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
11 CHAN Aidan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
12 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
13 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
14 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
15 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
16 LI AYDEN 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1%
17 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
18 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
19 TUNG Ryan 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
20 SUN Andrew 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
21 KANG Evan 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
22 TOLEDO Carlos 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
23 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
24 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
25 ANDRES Michael 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
26 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 93% 61% 22% 3% -
27 HRISTOV Kris 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
28 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
29 BEKDJANOV Arthur 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
30 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
31 SU Kingston 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
32 LISKOVETS Alec 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
33 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
34 WANG HongXi 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
35 HO Anson 100% 99% 76% 35% 8% 1%
36 VO Landon 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
37 HOLZ Lucas 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
38 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
39 ZENG Vito 100% 98% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
40 SEELMAN Cole 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
41 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
42 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
43 CHAN Henry 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
44 WONG David 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
45 FOX Gavin 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
45 LEE Brandon 100% 26% 3% - - -
47 CAO Donald 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1%
48 BULLARD Bennett 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
49 SUNG Julian 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% - -
50 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
51 SUN Andy 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
52 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
53 COBIAN Richard 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
54 YANG Phillip 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
54 DE WITT Magnus 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
56 GARDNER David 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
57 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
58 CHEN Yuan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
59 BUI Joseph 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
60 ROSALES Vincent 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
61 LEE Brian 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
62 HSIEH Christian 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
63 STONE Brad 100% 59% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.