Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, August 31, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUI Jessie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 PARK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
3 SOE Hayleigh 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
5 LIU Ashley 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
6 YAO Abby 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
7 ZHANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
8 LEE Abigail 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
9 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
11 XIA Isabella 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
12 SHEN Caleb 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
13 JIANG Ziqing 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
14 WU Allison 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 6%
15 LIM Kensie 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
16 JEANSON Sierra 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
17 AHN Hayley 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 5%
18 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53% 12%
19 HOM Emma 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
19 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
21 YUNG Zoe 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
22 GOWDA Siyona 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% -
23 LI Audrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
24 CHEN Yifan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 3%
24 KIM Ines 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
26 ZHANG Viviana 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
27 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
28 ZHANG Elizabeth 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
29 SAIFEE Sakina 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23% 3%
30 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
31 THOTA Akira 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 4%
32 CHEN bridgette 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 11%
33 DESAI Zoya 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
34 LIU Mia 100% 100% 95% 70% 24% 4% -
35 CHENG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 4%
36 MAHAPATRA Alisha 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
37 LIM Kora 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
38 DONG Nancy 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
39 LI Annabelle 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
40 PARK Seojeong 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
41 FU Joy 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
42 YIN Anthea 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% - -
43 LIN Avery 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
44 BENNYHOFF Myla 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20% 1%
45 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
46 BASTUNAS Marissa 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
47 HONDA Emi 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
48 YU Xintong 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
49 SANTIAGO Rania 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
49 THERIOT Reagan 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% - -
51 DEJOY Leilah 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
52 BANDZELADZE Emma 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
53 CHEN Aimee 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
54 CHEN Catherine 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
55 KIM Phoebe 100% 84% 42% 8% 1% - -
56 ZHAN Catherine 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
57 WANG Ellen 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
57 ZALTZMAN Maya 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
59 DOROTEO GARCIA Mia 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% - -
60 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 100% 74% 30% 5% - - -
61 TANG Clementine 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
62 YANG Byanca 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
62 VALOUEVA Katerina 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
64 LUO Olivia 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
65 LEE Clara 100% 86% 46% 12% 2% - -
66 LAM Dorris Yandor 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
67 GUO Jianing 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
68 LEE Annalyn 100% 74% 29% 4% - - -
69 JUSON Julianne Lauren 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
70 FAN Lauren 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.