Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
5 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
6 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
7 WANG Jiayi 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
8 LO Chloe 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
9 YAM Danika 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
10 CONG Anne 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
11 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
12 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
13 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
14 LEE Lauren 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
15 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
16 SHEARER Alena 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
17 STONE Coral 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
18 JOHNSON Heaven 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
19 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
20 YUEN Nicole 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
21 LIU kai yin aria 100% 98% 86% 59% 28% 8% 1%
22 WONG Natalie 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
23 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
24 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
25 YAO Rainie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
26 CHEN Elaine 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
27 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
28 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
28 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
30 HAN Emma 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
31 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
32 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16%
33 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
34 RAMOS Katrione Dominae 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% 1%
35 NING Lynn 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
36 WONG Cerise 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
37 TEYSSIER Katherine 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
38 TONG Laurie 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
39 KIM Alexia 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
40 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
41 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 11%
42 KIRBY Skye 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
43 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
44 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
45 RIVERA Brenda 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
46 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
47 HWANG Charlotte 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
48 SCHOEW Margot 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
49 SAMPATH Medha 100% 83% 28% 4% - - -
50 KIM Satie 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
51 MISHEV Lila 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
52 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
53 CHEN Colette 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
54 PHAN Genevieve 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
55 BAIRD Kaleah 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
56 LIN Abbey 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
57 CAI Veronica 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
58 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
59 OCA Merci 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
60 LIU Hannah 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
61 WILSON Eva 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
61 BORDAS HILL Georgiana 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 2%
63 BORTAI Eliza 100% 83% 48% 18% 4% - -
64 OLKO Sophie 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% - -
65 LEE Adriana 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
66 CAO arissa 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
67 DING Jolie 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
68 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 34% 3% - - - -
69 PANCHAL Arya 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
70 ANDERSON Kathryn 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.