Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, September 1, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
2 WYNN Kylie 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
3 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
3 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
5 BAE Yooju 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
7 CHUN Adelle Ha-Eune 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41% 6%
8 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
9 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
10 MU Allison 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
11 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
12 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
13 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 3%
14 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 28%
15 YONG Rosalind 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 9%
16 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5% -
17 PENG Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
18 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
19 LI Alice 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
20 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 100% 96% 72% 27% 3%
21 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 99% 89% 50% 12% 1%
22 LIU Samantha 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 20%
23 WU Nicole Moxuan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 5%
24 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 6%
25 YAO Abby 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
26 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1% -
27 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
28 GUO Audrey 100% 100% 95% 70% 26% 3%
29 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
30 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 99% 85% 41% 7%
30 XIE Su 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
32 MAYER Cécile 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
33 LUCAS Ava 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
34 CUI alivia 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 7%
35 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15% 1%
36 TAO Ann 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
36 DESAI Esha 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 7%
38 FAN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 10%
39 HO Addison 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
40 MONAT Jennifer 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
41 LEUNG Lokhei (Hailey) 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
42 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
43 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 23%
44 PARK Lauren 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
45 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
46 YU Sophie 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 8% -
47 CHEN Madeleine 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
48 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
49 MORALES Paulina 100% 100% 87% 52% 16% 2%
50 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
51 CHO Karis 100% 95% 57% 15% 1% -
52 SAH Madeleine 100% 99% 70% 20% 2% -
53 ZONG Melody 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
54 THERON Zoe 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
55 CHANG Janelle 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
56 LIN Allison 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
57 TAN Shouyin 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% 1% -
58 JACOB Norah 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
59 DING Madison 100% 98% 81% 36% 7% 1% -
60 IDANAWANG Madison 100% 60% 14% 1% - -
61 MA Isabelle 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
62 TULYAG Sayda 100% 98% 72% 26% 4% -
63 ZHU Yunyao 100% 97% 52% 10% 1% -
64 HSIAO Ariya 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
65 ZHANG Queeny 100% 99% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
66 HUGHES Olivia 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
67 FAN Sophia 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
68 BUI Aubrie 100% 81% 31% 5% - - -
69 IDANAWANG Allison 100% 13% - - - -
70 LAY Apollonia 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
71 CHUN Ami 100% 23% 2% - - -
72 WHEATON Eliza 100% 98% 68% 26% 5% -
73 FANG Kelervia 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
74 SEAL Ayda 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
75 XI Sophia 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
76 LI Audrey 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% - -
77 GOEL Riyana 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2% -
78 LI Chelsea 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
79 KIM Lauren 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
80 TAI Taphanie 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
81 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
81 FENG Zoie 100% 46% 7% - - - -
83 JENA Aanvi 100% 69% 18% 2% - -
84 LING Camryn 100% 64% 19% 2% - - -
85 TAGHVA Lara 100% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.