Neil Lazar RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, September 7, 2024 at 4:30 PM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 REN James 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
2 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
3 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 8%
6 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
7 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
8 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
9 ENGEL Peter 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
10 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
11 SO Preston 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 7%
12 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
13 UEMOTO Ken 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 3%
14 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
15 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
16 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
17 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
18 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
19 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
20 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
21 GONG Alex 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
22 CLARK Gabriel 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
23 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
24 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
25 MANESCU Miron 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
26 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
27 POWER Alex 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 3% -
28 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
29 ZHOU Grant 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
30 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 99% 84% 43% 11% 1%
31 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
32 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 5%
33 LUAN Mark 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% -
34 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
35 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
36 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10%
37 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
37 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
39 SADHU Neiyam 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 1%
40 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
40 JAIN Karanvir 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
42 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
43 PORTER Dupree 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
44 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1%
45 LIGH Checed 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
46 WANG Jerry 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
47 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
48 LIM Brandon 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
49 WONG Caleb W. 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1%
50 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
51 RIDKY Sam 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% 1%
52 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
53 TSAO Alister 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
54 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 87% 43% 11% 1% - -
54 BERGER Jacob 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% - -
56 JI Johnson 100% 99% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
57 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 56% 18% 2%
58 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
59 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 90% 49% 13% 2% -
60 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
61 YOSHEA Henry 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
62 AO Christopher 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
63 WU Timothy 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
64 LIEUWMA Nico 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% -
65 HO Nathaniel 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
65 ROSADO Sebastian 100% 86% 39% 8% 1% -
67 MAPES Tanner 100% 38% 6% - - -
68 LIBBY Benjamin 100% 89% 42% 10% 1% - -
69 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
70 FIROOZI Sam 100% 43% 7% 1% - - -
71 WASCO Andrew 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
72 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 32% 4% - - -
73 YANG Byron 100% 43% 7% - - -
74 LI Aidan 100% 5% - - - - -
75 COBITZ Harrison 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
76 SHAW Micah 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
77 LIEU Nicholas 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
78 KULKARNI Ishir 100% 34% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.