October NAC

Div I Women's Épée (Day 2)

Saturday, October 13, 2018 at 10:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
2 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
3 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
3 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 3%
5 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 12%
6 SIRICO Amanda E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
7 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 66% 41% 19% 6% 1% -
8 CEBULA Anne 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
9 CONSTANTINO Lola 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
10 KOPECKY Lydia J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
11 ANGEN Katie R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 4%
12 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 77% 50% 21% 4%
13 GUO ZI SHAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 74% 49% 23% 7% 1%
14 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
15 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 75% 44% 13%
16 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% 1%
17 FALINSKA Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 58% 30% 10% 2% -
18 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 73% 44% 19% 5% 1% - -
19 ZOZULYA Christina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 48% 20% 3%
20 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 99% 92% 62% 16% 1%
21 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
22 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
23 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 67% 40% 17% 5% 1% - -
24 STEWART Tatijana I. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
25 MO Victoria 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
26 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
27 DANIEL Chloe L. 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 18% 3%
28 LIU Kai (Charlene) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 62% 33% 11% 2% -
30 SNIDER Margot (Maggie) 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
31 MIERCZUK Tessa 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 53% 26% 8% 1%
32 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 62% 34% 12% 3% -
33 HURLEY Courtney L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
34 CANDREVA Greta H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
35 CHRETIEN PAULINE 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 85% 65% 38% 16% 4% -
36 KALONJI Anastasia T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
37 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 89% 71% 46% 23% 8% 2% - -
38 VIERHELLER Giana (Gigi) L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
39 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
40 LIANG Rui ( Jessica ) 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
41 PAUL Anna L. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
42 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
42 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
44 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 51% 26% 9% 2% -
45 GAO Emily L. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
46 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
47 ADRAGNA Olivia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 70% 43% 19% 5% 1% -
48 YEU Irene 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
49 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
50 YEFREMENKO Dariya (Dasha) (Dasha) 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
51 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 52% 24% 8% 2% - - -
52 PROVENZA Hannah G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 88% 72% 48% 25% 9% 2% -
53 LEUNG Karina Kay Sze 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 90% 74% 50% 25% 8% 2% -
54 ENO Megan E. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
55 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 99% 93% 75% 48% 22% 7% 1% - - -
56 O'REILLY Meghan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 87% 67% 40% 16% 4% -
57 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
58 PAPADOPOULOS Maria 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 49% 25% 9% 2% - - -
59 ADAMS KIM Madeline 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
60 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 24% 9% 2% - - -
61 BULAVKO Sonia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 56% 31% 12% 3% - -
62 DOLGONOS Melanie 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
63 HASKEL Darby H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 77% 50% 23% 7% 1% - -
64 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
65 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 58% 30% 10% 1%
66 TANIBAJEVA Rachel L. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
67 PHILLIPS Summer E. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
68 CHOI Lyla 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
69 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 87% 69% 44% 21% 7% 1% -
70 HILL Gabrielle (Gabby) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 94% 82% 62% 38% 17% 6% 1% -
71 BARNA Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 75% 49% 24% 8% 2% -
72 DUMAS Courtney A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
73 KOMAR Sofia 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1%
74 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
75 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
76 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 85% 65% 39% 17% 5% 1%
77 KIMURA Kimberley H. 100% 100% 98% 92% 77% 54% 30% 12% 4% 1% - - -
78 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
79 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 90% 74% 50% 25% 8% 1%
80 SCALA Emma 100% 100% 99% 93% 80% 57% 32% 14% 4% 1% - - -
81 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
82 MCFADDEN Christa M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 80% 56% 30% 11% 3% - -
82 PLENTY Kenyata (Kenya) (Kenya) G. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
84 LEIGHTON Eleanor T. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
85 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 92% 58% 18% 3% -
86 MICEK Alexandria (Ally) L. 100% 100% 97% 87% 65% 37% 15% 4% 1% - - -
87 BERDICHEVSKY Adelle M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 79% 54% 28% 11% 3% - - -
88 LIVERANT Jordan S. 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 49% 24% 9% 2% - - - -
88 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
90 KANG Dahyun 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 77% 54% 30% 12% 3% - -
91 KWON Athina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 79% 55% 27% 8% 1%
92 GUPTA Ananya B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 81% 59% 34% 14% 4% 1% -
92 LANTIGUA Adda 100% 99% 91% 72% 44% 20% 6% 1% - - - -
94 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
95 GILL Kaitlyn Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 65% 37% 16% 4% 1% - - -
96 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 99% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
97 QURESHI Aafreen 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 86% 67% 41% 18% 5% 1% -
98 LOMBARD Ella 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
99 LIM Clarice 100% 100% 98% 89% 70% 44% 20% 7% 1% - - -
100 KIM Diane E. 100% 95% 76% 46% 20% 6% 1% - - - - -
101 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
102 BRILL Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 74% 48% 22% 6% 1% -
103 DESJARDINS Rosalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 97% 88% 69% 44% 20% 6% 1% -
104 SZPAK Lara K. 100% 100% 98% 90% 71% 45% 21% 7% 2% - - -
105 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 98% 91% 73% 48% 24% 9% 2% - - - -
106 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 61% 35% 15% 5% 1% - - -
107 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 100% 97% 85% 61% 32% 12% 3% 1% - - - -
108 BELAOUSSOFF Kira 100% 100% 99% 95% 82% 59% 32% 13% 4% 1% - -
108 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 89% 72% 47% 23% 8% 2% - - -
110 ISERT Sarah 100% 100% 97% 84% 59% 30% 10% 2% - - - -
111 PROCTOR Sara J. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
112 SIMMONS Camille M. 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
112 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 84% 63% 37% 15% 4% -
114 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 93% 79% 54% 27% 8% 1%
115 PYO Yunice 100% 100% 97% 87% 68% 42% 20% 7% 2% - - - -
116 NAVARRO Ava B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 88% 68% 42% 18% 5% 1% - -
117 SOIN Anika A. 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 51% 26% 9% 2% - - - -
118 IGOE Nirali B. 100% 100% 98% 92% 76% 51% 26% 10% 2% - - -
119 DIDONATO Gianina L. 100% 99% 95% 80% 54% 27% 10% 2% - - - - -
120 MOTON Mckenzie R. 100% 99% 94% 76% 48% 22% 7% 1% - - - -
121 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 73% 48% 23% 8% 1% -
122 KIM Natalie S. 100% 100% 98% 90% 70% 43% 20% 6% 1% - - - -
123 GAO Aretha R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
124 WALLACE Katherine C. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
125 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
126 WEISS Talia L. 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
127 TONG Sarah Shen 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
128 AMADOR Marta 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
129 TAPIA Sandy 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
130 KUNDU Anisha 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
131 PRASAD Anagha 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
132 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
133 ROBLES Elena 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% -
134 CAO Catherine H. 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
135 WEISS Rachel 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
136 LANZMAN Anna B. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
137 WOLF Isabella A. 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
138 ROBERTSON Lily 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
139 YOON Julia J. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
140 JOBALIA Ria 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1%
141 LUONG Shirley 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
142 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
143 KOZAK Maeve E. 100% 77% 34% 7% - -
144 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.