Foothills Fall Fight 2024

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 11:00 AM

The Simpsonville Activity Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCINTYRE Kendric J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
2 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
3 POBIS Chandler R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
5 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58% 11%
6 DUBE Ian D. 100% 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1%
7 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
8 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4% -
9 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 4%
10 COLLIER Baiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
11 SCHMENK Thad J. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
12 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 3%
13 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 15% 2%
14 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
15 LEONARD Robert 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
16 PETE Landon 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1% -
17 KREISER Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 16% 1%
18 KLEPAL Spencer 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
19 RUTHERFORD Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
20 HICKS Matthew 100% 67% 22% 3% < 1% - -
21 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 12%
22 SNYDER Kathryn 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
23 HERRICK Kerry K. 100% 96% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
24 SLATTERY Kaden 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 5% -
25 MACLEOD Zion 100% 92% 57% 14% 2% - -
26 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
27 BOHLER-PARK Henry 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
28 DECKER Carlton 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20% 1%
29 MEREDITH Jeffrey 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
30 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 80% 22% 3% - - -
31 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
32 DEEL Hayes 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
33 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 93% 63% 20% 3% - -
34 COLLINS Andrew V. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
35 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 97% 66% 24% 4% -
36 AILSTOCK Charlie 100% 91% 42% 8% 1% - -
37 LIU Bianca 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
38 CATES Georgia 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
39 DEANE Hannah 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 5% 1%
40 HOLT Joe 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
41 MACAUDA Mark M. 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
42 PAYNE mark 100% 99% 90% 40% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.