Foothills Fall Fight 2024

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 3:30 PM

The Simpsonville Activity Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
2 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 22%
3 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 MILES Greyson 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
5 PETE Landon 100% 98% 75% 31% 5% < 1%
6 HICKS Matthew 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% < 1% -
7 MEREDITH Jeffrey 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5% -
8 SLATTERY Kaden 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
9 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
10 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 61% 16% 1%
11 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
12 LEONARD Robert 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
13 COLLINS Andrew V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
14 DECKER Carlton 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 5%
15 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
16 BOHLER-PARK Henry 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
17 DEEL Hayes 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
18 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
19 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 40%
20 HOLT Joe 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
21 MACLEOD Zion 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
22 KLEPAL Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
23 LIU Bianca 100% 85% 41% 8% 1% - -
24 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
24 COLLIER Baiden 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
26 HERRICK Kerry K. 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
27 RUTHERFORD Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 3%
28 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
29 DEANE Hannah 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
30 ECKARD Melody 100% 77% 31% 5% - -
31 KRISHNAKUMAR Trisha 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% -
32 HUBERT Carter 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
33 HAYES Tinsley 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% -
34 VON CLEF Claire 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
35 PAYNE mark 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
36 GUTHRIE Jennifer 100% 47% 7% - - - -
36 CARR Micah 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
38 CATES Georgia 100% 94% 56% 14% 1% -
39 GABEL Dorotea 100% 95% 63% 21% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.