TFC September Fence-a-thon

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 12:45 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	RAJ Yojith	-	4%	20%	40%	29%	7%
2	CREMEL Remi	-	1%	7%	28%	43%	21%
3	LAM Dorris Yandor	4%	21%	36%	28%	10%	1%	-
3	GOWDA Adisha	1%	6%	28%	44%	19%	2%
5	LEUNG Joon	-	-	-	2%	11%	38%	49%
6	GU Evan	2%	15%	35%	34%	13%	2%
7	LI Yunze	-	1%	8%	30%	42%	19%
8	LI Ethan	44%	44%	11%	1%	-	-
9	LIN Tiffany	-	-	3%	17%	45%	35%
10	YANG Nolan	3%	19%	38%	30%	9%	1%	-
11	SHU Kayla	-	3%	15%	32%	33%	15%	2%
12	SHENOY Neil	1%	14%	37%	34%	12%	2%
13	ZHANG Charlie	-	-	2%	11%	30%	38%	19%
14	YAN Aaron	4%	19%	33%	28%	13%	3%	-
15	DONG YIKUN	13%	37%	34%	13%	2%	-
16	MOK Jason	38%	41%	18%	4%	-	-	-
17	FUNG Caleb	1%	7%	29%	41%	20%	2%
18	ZHANG Katie Qingyun	1%	9%	26%	34%	22%	6%	1%
19	FAN Vivian	1%	11%	30%	37%	18%	3%	-
20	NGUYEN Norris	-	-	4%	19%	42%	34%
21	LIN Dylan	-	1%	7%	30%	44%	19%
22	KHANAL Sarah	2%	18%	41%	30%	8%	1%
23	ZHU Claire	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	5%	-
24	ZENG Cayden	1%	7%	24%	37%	26%	6%
25	FUNG Lucas	2%	15%	36%	32%	12%	2%	-
26	SCHOR Katherine	18%	43%	30%	8%	1%	-
27	WANG Ian	-	4%	19%	34%	29%	11%	2%
28	TUNG Alison	-	5%	26%	41%	24%	4%	-
29	JUSON Julianne Lauren	39%	45%	14%	2%	-	-
30	XIE Garrett	27%	42%	24%	6%	1%	-
31	KLEM Omaha	20%	46%	27%	6%	1%	-
32	TANG Jeremy	< 1%	1%	7%	27%	42%	21%	2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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