2025 BFC Youth Series 1

E & Under Y-14 Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 22, 2024 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
2 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 HANNA Alexander 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
3 PARIGIAN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
5 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
6 CIANCHETTA David 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
7 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
8 MA Brendon 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
9 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
10 WORMHOOD Alexa 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
11 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
12 TIAN Victoria 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
13 ZHU Una 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
14 ZARAYSKI Abigail 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
15 YOON Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
16 LO PROTO Amelia 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
17 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
18 DING Iris Siyue 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
19 SHI Evan 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
20 HAN Nathan 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
21 POYNTON Cora 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
22 SONKU Mira 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1% -
23 MCGANN Grant 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
24 SPRINGER Lily 100% 94% 57% 17% 2% - -
25 ANQUETIL Lila 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
26 MURTALA Aisha 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
27 BOYLE Bridget 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.