The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Y-12 Men's Saber

September Portland RYCPool Heatmap

Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 12:00 PM Northwest Fencing Center · Tigard, OR, USA
15 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 LAI Mars 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
2 ZHEN Felix 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
3 MODJESKI Lincoln 100% 94% 63% 22% 3%
3 GU Dean 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
5 HE zhixuan 100% 100% 96% 73% 23%
6 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
7 HOLMES Xavier 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
8 LI Linus 100% 90% 53% 13% 1%
9 LUO Winston 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
10 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
11 INGRAFFEA Eli 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
12 GUVEN Derin 100% 85% 47% 14% 2%
13 NELSON Logan 100% 71% 26% 4% -
14 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 53% 13% 2% -
15 HAFEZ oliver 100% 79% 31% 4% -