The Virginia Tech Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 9:00 AM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 38% 9%
2 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% < 1%
3 URBANSKI Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
5 BEDWORTH Paige 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
6 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 28% 3%
7 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 2% - -
8 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
9 FISHER Edward 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
10 CONANT Aidan 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
11 YU Samuel 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
12 GEEHRENG Charles 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2% -
13 BRUTON Vinton 100% 56% 15% 2% - - - -
14 CRISPIN Haley 100% 86% 45% 12% 2% - -
15 LEGASPI Ethan 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.