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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
# | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
1 | WRIGHT Alex | V V V V D V | V V V V V | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
2 | BERNSTEIN Matthew | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 2.9 | 6 | +3.1 |
3 | ZIELINSKI Alexander | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
3 | GEMMELL Tyler | V V V V D | V V V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
5 | DO Joshua | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
6 | TUCKER Evan | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
7 | DONG Joshua | V V D V V | V V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
8 | PUREFOY Malik | V D D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
9 | MEREDITH Jeffrey | V V V V V | V D | 1.4 | 5 | +3.6 |
10 | THOMAS Ethan | V V V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
11 | GEISSLER Maximilian | V D V D V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
11 | FERRARO Nicholas | D D V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
13 | CHEN Andrew | D V D V V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
14 | GRANT Grayson | V V D V V D | V V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
15 | JOHNSTON Jacob | D V V V D D | V V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
16 | GAYFORD Zachary | D V D V V D | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
17 | CHEN Andrew | D V V V V V | D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
18 | CRAIG Alexander | D V V V V | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
19 | DOUGLAS John | V V V D D V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
20 | ROBERTS Quinton | D V V D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
21 | PARKER Jordan | V D V D V | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
22 | STEPHENSON William | V V V D D | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
23 | RAKAJ Jozef | D V D D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
24 | PRILLAMAN Ethan | V D D V D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
24 | KIM Donghyun | D V V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
26 | MACKEVICIUS Nykolas | V D D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
27 | YOUNG III Cecil | V D V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
28 | YOCOM Gavin | D D V V D D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
29 | MARSTON Isaac | V D D D D V | V D | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
30 | GELSTHORPE Kyle | D V V D D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
31 | MARCELO emerson | D D D D V | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
32 | HOLLAND Jacob | D D D V D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
33 | HUNTER James | D V V V D D | D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
34 | BALKIR Thomas | V D D V V D | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
35 | LIN Sam | D V D V D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
36 | PATEL Divyam | V V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
37 | EKMAN Fischer | V D V D D D | D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
38 | DINH Kenny | D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
39 | BOUNDS Andrew | D V D D D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
40 | RAVITA Henry | D D D D D V | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
41 | WASH James | D D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
42 | AGUILLON Alexis | D D D D V D | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
43 | HUANG Arthur | D D D D D V | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
44 | ANG Andre | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
45 | MESNER Talyn | D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
46 | GELSTHORPE Kevin | D D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
47 | GARRETT John | D D D D D D | D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
---|---|---|---|
Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.