AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #1

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
2 DING Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
3 CHAN Nathan 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
3 LIN Daniel 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
5 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
6 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
7 JU Shang 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
8 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
9 YE Andrew 100% 95% 67% 24% 3% -
10 YU Haoyun Timothy 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 4%
11 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 1%
12 YU Brandon 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
13 REN Mark 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
13 LIU Xuyao 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
15 SZETO Zachary 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
16 LOUIE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
17 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 100% 99% 71% 21%
18 VINOD Davin 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
19 ABRAHAM Aaron 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
20 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
21 DIRKSEN Jamie 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
22 CHI Zachary 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
23 KIM Christian 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
24 LEE Cooper 100% 63% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.