October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, October 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
2 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 58%
3 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
5 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
6 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
7 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
8 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
9 CORTEYN Jolien 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 13%
10 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
11 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
12 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
13 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
14 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 5%
15 THURGOOD Madison C. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
16 LIU Sydney 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
17 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
18 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
19 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
20 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 3%
21 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
22 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
23 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 53%
24 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
25 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
26 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
27 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 14%
28 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
29 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
30 SHI Cathleen 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
31 BILILIES Sophia 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
32 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
33 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
34 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
35 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
36 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
37 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
38 WU Helen 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
39 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
40 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
41 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
42 SHTREVENSKY Maria 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
43 WEI JoyAnn 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
44 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
45 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 12%
46 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
47 WANG Elysia 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% 1%
48 XIAO julie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 11%
49 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 12%
50 DHAR Layla 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
51 KER Grace 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 7%
52 YANG Lea 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
53 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
54 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
55 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
56 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
57 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
58 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 62% 14%
59 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
60 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
61 GOLDIN Nina 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
62 MANN Sophia J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
63 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
64 CARTER Keely 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
65 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
66 SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
67 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
68 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
69 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% -
70 BROWN Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 21%
71 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
72 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 17%
73 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
74 BARROSO Isabela 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
75 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22% 3%
76 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
77 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
78 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
79 CHAVAN Arya 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
80 HSU Leah 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
81 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
82 FEIG Sela 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
83 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
84 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
85 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 40% 6%
86 TONG Jessie 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
87 YU Holly 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
88 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
89 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
90 GAY Sasha 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
91 KANG Ellie 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
92 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
93 WANG yining 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
94 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
95 LU Elaine 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
96 DANG Kelia 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
96 VENTURA Eva 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 5%
98 LAURI Keira 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
98 PAPAPETROPOULOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5% -
100 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 73% 32% 9% 1% - -
101 LEOU Korina 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
102 LITTLE Avery 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
103 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
103 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
105 CHANG Emily 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
106 FAVO Isabella 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
107 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 3%
108 LI Jiaying 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
109 KIM Marley I. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
110 LEE Alyson 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
110 TENG EMMA 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
112 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
113 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
114 HUANG MADELINE 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
115 ZENG Sarah 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
116 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
117 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
118 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
119 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
120 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
121 KINKADE Ellie 100% 82% 38% 6% - -
122 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
123 CROOKS Riley 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
124 SCOTT Eve 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
124 HU Anna 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
126 SAYSON Andrea 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
127 LIN Nicole 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
128 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
129 LIU kai yin aria 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
130 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
131 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
132 XIONG Haojiao 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% -
133 CHEN Elaine 100% 73% 27% 3% - -
133 HUANG Doris 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
135 LU Amy 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
136 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
137 OU Yixuan 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
138 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
139 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
140 CHUNG Hailey 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
141 JEONG Katie 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
142 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
143 MACKAY Katherine 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
143 BARBOSA Katia 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
145 YAM Danika 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1% -
145 LIU Hannah 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
147 DAI Olivia 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
148 MARYASH Samantha 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
149 NI Sharon 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
149 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
151 HUANG Rachael 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
152 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
153 GUVEN Coco 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
154 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
154 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
156 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
157 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
157 XU Emily T. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
159 OCA Merci 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
160 MUND Ruth 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
161 WHELAN Brynn M. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
162 ZHENG Valentina 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
163 BERMAN greta 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
164 WU Yuwei 100% 82% 38% 6% - -
165 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
166 GUGALA Hanna 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
167 LO Chloe 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
168 LARGAESPADA Fatima 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
169 AWAD Royce 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
170 SHI Julia 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
171 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
172 KOLMYKOVA Aleksandra 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
173 HASSAN Aziza R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
174 CASTELO Soleil 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
174 KHAN Alissa 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
176 DEPEW Charlotte R. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
176 VINOKUR Anita 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
178 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
179 SEHIC Cassandra 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
180 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
181 LIU Kelly 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
182 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
183 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
184 MCSWEENEY Kylie 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
185 BUSH Bethany 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
186 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
187 SPEARS Mya B 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
188 ZHANG Sophie 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
189 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
190 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
191 LI Sonia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
192 PABIAN Emilia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
193 MALEK Zolie 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
194 DEMING Clare L. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
194 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.