October NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, October 4, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JI Cody Walter - - - - - 12% 88%
2 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 BERRIO Carter E. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
5 CHAN Matthew - - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
6 CHON Taylor A. - - - 2% 22% 75%
7 DENNER Maximilian P. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
8 PASTORE LIU Vince - 2% 15% 39% 36% 8%
9 CHOI Silas - - - - 5% 33% 62%
10 KIM Shaun M. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
11 SHOMAN Noah - - - 3% 17% 42% 39%
12 HUANG Ethan F. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
13 HJERPE Wade H. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
14 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
15 KIM ELIJAH - - 5% 23% 40% 27% 5%
16 BUCHMANN Finn D. - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 12%
17 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
18 HOLZ Daniel - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
19 WANG Nicolas - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
20 ROBINSON William - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
21 KWALWASSER Eric - - 2% 11% 32% 38% 17%
21 CRAIG Samuel - - 3% 17% 36% 32% 10%
23 WANG Robert - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
24 YAO JINTAO - 2% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
25 WU Roger (Mengke) - - - - 4% 28% 68%
26 YAO JINCHENG - - 3% 17% 39% 36% 5%
27 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
28 CHUNG Connor - 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
29 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
30 SU Landon - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
31 ROE Finnegan - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
32 FALCON-KORB Mathis 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% -
33 OH Triton - - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
34 VAID Luke - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
35 KUSHKOV Daniel - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
36 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
37 REN James - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
38 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
39 KIM Ethan - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
40 YE Eric - - 2% 12% 36% 41% 9%
41 PENG Bryan - - 3% 17% 40% 33% 8%
42 BAE Jason I. - - - 5% 24% 47% 24%
43 PANDEY Neil - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
44 JOO Jeein - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
45 LEE Noah - 4% 22% 40% 28% 7%
46 NOBLE Colin - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
47 ZENG Noah - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
48 KIM Kendrick - 1% 8% 31% 41% 18% 2%
49 ZHANG Derek - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
50 PAN Alex - - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
51 VAUGHN Jason 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
52 GUFFEY Christopher - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
53 NG Jonathan - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
54 WOODWARD Connor - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
55 DUNCAN Adlai 1% 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
56 LIN Philip T. - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
57 TIAGI Daniel - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
58 HU Chris - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
59 XU William - - - 2% 15% 46% 36%
60 JIANG Anthony - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
61 CHON Collin - 2% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
62 FENG Leo - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
63 LIN Daniel - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
64 PINTO Marcus - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
65 LEE Aydan J. - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
66 CHEONG Heonjun - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
67 FERNANDEZ Liam - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
68 LIM William J. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
69 HOTHA Nikhil - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
70 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
71 PI Alexander - - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
72 SAVOY Luca - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
73 CHAVES Matthew J. - - 1% 10% 34% 43% 13%
73 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
75 BYON Julian - - 9% 33% 41% 15% 2%
76 CHEN Samuel - 1% 10% 31% 40% 16% 1%
77 PRIMUS Nazir - - - 3% 21% 48% 28%
78 WILSON Jude - - - 2% 17% 45% 35%
79 WANG Daniel - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
80 EYBELMAN Ariel - 3% 24% 44% 25% 4% -
81 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 6% 26% 41% 22% 5% -
82 TSE Aiden J - 5% 27% 40% 23% 4%
83 RAMANAN Govind - 4% 25% 43% 24% 4%
84 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. - 1% 12% 40% 34% 11% 1%
85 KANG Evan 2% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
86 LI Howard - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
87 RIGHTLER Samuel - - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
88 GONZALEZ Jake 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
89 YAN William - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
90 HONG Vincent Q. - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
91 SAHAY Kenji - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
92 ROSBERG Dashiell W. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
92 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
94 TAO Jeffrey - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
94 KATZ Ryan - 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
96 LINCOURT Arthur 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
96 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) - 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
96 MUNGUIA Nathan - 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 2%
99 DECK Tyson - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
100 KANG Evan R. - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
101 POFF Kainoa - 2% 14% 34% 35% 13% 1%
102 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
103 QIU Nathan - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
104 SLASTIN Andrew - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
105 LEE Andrew 1% 12% 36% 37% 13% 1%
106 YANG Dylan 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
107 LU Xinzhen - 1% 6% 27% 39% 22% 4%
108 HUANG Alexander C. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
109 GHAYALOD ansh - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
110 PATEL Rayn - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
111 GAY Jono 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
112 KALPATHY Rohit - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
113 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
114 BRANDT Jaden - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
115 VAROQUA Nalby 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
116 HUNG Samuel 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
117 GLOZMAN Justin - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
118 PANG Aidan 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
118 LI Yiwei - 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
120 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
121 BYON Adrian 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
122 BROU Inkosi - 6% 27% 40% 22% 4%
123 TSAO Oliver - 6% 35% 41% 16% 2% -
124 MAY Griffin M. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
125 WANG Will - 2% 15% 40% 33% 10% 1%
126 FLOT Tai A. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
127 PIWOWAR Alex - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
128 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
129 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
130 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
131 WANG Justin 2% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
132 ANDRES Michael - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
133 KILARI Krish - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
134 FELDMAN Drew - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
135 SHIPITSIN Alexander 3% 19% 37% 30% 11% 1%
136 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
137 TENG MATTHEW - 1% 10% 31% 41% 18%
138 WAXLER Ryan 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
139 PATIL Aaryan A. - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
140 YAN Kevin - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 5%
141 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
142 ZHANG Ethan W. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% 1%
143 SUBA Lucas - 10% 43% 35% 11% 1% -
144 LIN Maxim - 1% 10% 33% 37% 16% 2%
145 MEYERSON Jacob - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 5%
146 CHEEMA Hyder - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
146 MATTOO Deven 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
146 CAO Donald 2% 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
149 CLARK Aram 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
150 KIM Theodore - 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
151 SO Hananiah - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
152 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
153 DALAL Rohan - - 3% 18% 42% 35% 2%
154 WANG Max 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
155 NGO Maximus 1% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
156 BERA Enzo 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 3%
157 MORALES Jonathan 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
158 OH Aster 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
158 YERRAMILLI Tejas 1% 10% 37% 38% 13% 1%
160 NGUYEN Anthony 4% 24% 42% 25% 5% -
161 MEHAN Nicholas - 6% 27% 42% 22% 2%
162 HERNANDEZ Stanton - 5% 26% 42% 24% 2%
163 HO Jacob 10% 39% 37% 12% 2% -
164 PORTER Dupree 9% 40% 36% 13% 2% -
165 KOTOV Leonid - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
166 SHANKWILER Christopher - 4% 24% 42% 24% 5% -
167 HOLZ Lucas 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
168 MANESCU Miron 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
169 UEMOTO Ken 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
170 BIVIJI Ali 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
171 STURN Oliver - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
172 ANAND Rohan 5% 24% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
173 MALAITHONG Nathagorn - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8% -
174 WANG ANDREW CHANG - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
175 WANG William - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
176 ZHOU William 4% 24% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
177 CHEONG Heonjae - - 1% 9% 32% 40% 17%
177 SANGSTER Arden 2% 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
179 DOMINIQUE Remson 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
180 FIELDS Matthew S. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
181 ZHAO Lucas - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
182 GONG Jerry - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18% 2%
183 LIU Kevin - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
184 SIDDIQUI Shayan 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
185 FANG Eason 5% 31% 40% 19% 4% - -
186 BEITEL Noah - - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6%
186 STRUCKER Rocco 1% 37% 44% 16% 2% - -
186 DUMOULIN Gabriel - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
189 BENSON Jacob 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
190 ABBASI Abtin 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
191 GOLDIN Lucca - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
191 SOWERS Samuel - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
193 BADUSHOV Anton 1% 16% 48% 28% 6% 1% -
194 HARRINGTON Connor 1% 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
195 RAJMOHAN Arya 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
196 FENG Brendan 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
197 ZHEXUAN yu - 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
198 WANG Jerry 1% 12% 39% 35% 12% 1% -
199 LIU Lawrence - 1% 9% 30% 39% 17% 2%
200 LI Matthew 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
201 WITCZAK Mateus - 42% 41% 14% 2% -
202 CHEN Jonathan 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2%
203 GONG Alex 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
204 CLARK Gabriel 8% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
205 SUN Andrew 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
206 SO Preston - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
207 KO Zuriel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
208 ATWOOD Griffin 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 6% -
208 POWER Alex 7% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
210 AO Christopher 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
211 DOLAN Charles R. - 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
211 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
211 DESAUTELS Connor 5% 36% 39% 16% 3% - -
214 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
215 GERSTMANN Max T. - 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
215 LOSQUADRO Joseph 48% 41% 10% 1% - - -
217 WANG Max 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
217 ETIN Ari 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
217 SRIVATS Vedh 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
220 GREENBAUM Ian L. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
220 FOX Gavin 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
222 WONG Caleb W. 5% 28% 43% 21% 4% - -
222 ZHENG LEON 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
224 WANG Michael 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
225 KUMAR Arjun 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
226 KALOUDIS Sean 11% 48% 33% 8% 1% - -
227 STURGEON Cole 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
228 HO Nathaniel 16% 42% 32% 10% 1% - -
229 CUSUMANO Neal 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
230 ZHANG Yupeng - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
230 LUAN Mark 4% 30% 40% 21% 5% - -
232 HALL Noah 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
232 MCDONALD Finn 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
234 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1% -
234 MUNJULURI ruhaan 12% 42% 35% 10% 1% - -
234 IDIR Mohand-Ilyas 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
237 LIGH Checed 29% 46% 21% 4% - - -
238 JONES Elijah 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
239 KIARA Kinoti 20% 46% 27% 6% - -
240 MICLAUS Justin - < 1% 3% 17% 42% 37%
241 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
242 TIAGI George 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% -
243 JI Johnson 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
244 JENSBY Jason 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
245 BARRIOS Diego 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
246 TSAO Alister 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
247 SCHIMEL Luke 25% 50% 21% 3% - -
248 HOUTZ Jackson - < 1% 1% 11% 36% 39% 12%
249 ZHANG Ray 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
250 KETT Richard 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
251 LAUB William 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
252 SADHU Neiyam 4% 41% 38% 14% 2% - -
253 REHM Liam 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
254 ALAVE Kyle 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
254 AUTREY Adrien 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
254 HE Bowen 15% 38% 32% 13% 2% - -
257 XIA Matthew 6% 39% 38% 14% 2% - -
257 MARKARYAN Eric 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
259 CHENG Hong 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
260 ONG Dylan 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
260 XU Ivan 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
262 BOULAIS Andrew D. 1% 18% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
263 BREUER Daniel 1% 61% 33% 5% - - -
263 BANSAL Krishiv 27% 53% 18% 2% - - -
265 HENDERSON Lucas 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
265 CHEN Richard - 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
267 LIN Felix 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
267 ROSALES Vincent 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
267 AROUNA Ilan 30% 47% 20% 3% - - -
270 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
271 JAIN Karanvir 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
272 LAZARTE Gabriel 57% 38% 4% - - - -
273 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 1% 25% 47% 23% 4% - -
274 JIN Yubo 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
275 VAN KOERT Akash 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
276 ZHOU Grant 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
277 CHAN Elliott 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
278 RIDKY Sam 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
278 COUNTS Nicholas 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
280 CHAN Aidan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
280 HENDERSON Jack 44% 44% 11% 1% - -
280 LIGUORI Michael 39% 44% 15% 2% - -
283 SZULIM Lucjan 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
283 CHIEN Nolan 68% 28% 4% - - - -
285 WEINBERG Harry 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
285 BAHK Caleb 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
285 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
285 ZHAO Royce 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
289 LI Cooper 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
290 CRAWFORD William 62% 32% 6% - - - -
290 WASCO Andrew 34% 48% 16% 2% - - -
292 COBIAN Richard 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
293 BARROWS Hunter 23% 53% 21% 3% - - -
293 COBITZ Harrison 69% 28% 3% - - - -
293 ROSADO Sebastian 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -
296 PATEL Kiran 99% 1% - - - -
297 FTAIHA Ezra 26% 57% 15% 1% - - -
297 FREILICH Harrison 86% 14% 1% - - - -
299 BRAMLETT Myer 87% 13% 1% - - - -
300 ANSARI Umayr 73% 24% 3% - - - -
300 LI Aidan 99% 1% - - - - -
300 YANG Byron 50% 42% 7% - - - -
303 VARKI Simon 92% 8% - - - - -
304 VISH Manyu 73% 25% 3% - - - -
305 LI Liam 93% 7% - - - - -
306 LEVY Jack 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.