2024 Szathmary Smackdown I

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 3:00 PM

TRECS Gym - Knoxville, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PETE Landon 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
2 CHALMERS Thomas 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
3 KEMLE Brian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
5 DUNKLIN Devon 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
6 SAYLER Gordon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
7 MCNARY Sean 100% 98% 83% 43% 11% 1%
8 VALENZUELA Elijah 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% -
9 KARRIEM Zainuddin 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 28%
10 PARKER Jordan 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
11 ARNOLD Samuel 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
12 MACGREGOR Alexander 100% 99% 91% 58% 18% 2%
13 MCNARY Ross 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
14 CARRUTH Mae 100% 84% 30% 4% - -
15 SHELLABARGER Stephen 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
16 CRAIG Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
17 PIERCE Robert 100% 99% 81% 37% 5% -
18 KINDEL Amara 100% 98% 81% 37% 8% 1%
19 DREWRY Alexandra 100% 46% 7% - - -
20 SEATON Luna 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
21 BENJAMIN John 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
22 HAUSER Samuel 100% 88% 40% 9% 1% -
23 MANESS Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
24 WATKINS Christopher 100% 89% 51% 14% 2% -
25 BARRETT John 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
26 HEINLEY Jackson 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
27 DERRINGER Drew 100% 98% 79% 36% 7% 1%
28 BARBER Christopher 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
29 SAYLER Griffin 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
30 LEIN Jennifer 100% 99% 86% 38% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.