Premier Challenge ROC DIV1A/DIV2

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, February 23, 2019 at 12:30 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
2 HEALY Griffen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 LIAO Alex J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
5 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 5%
6 CARMAN Ian K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
7 XIE Javah 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
8 MACRAE Harrison A. 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
9 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
10 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
11 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
12 BOBROW Logan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
13 WANG Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
13 LE Vyn A. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
15 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
16 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
17 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
18 TSAI Max W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4%
19 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
20 TIAN Yuzhe (Charlie) 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
21 HILMER Michael 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
22 FRITZ Ayden R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
23 GRAHAM Aleko 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
24 BOISLARD Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
25 TSAI Philip W. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
26 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 85% 39% 8% 1% - -
27 MEYERS Lee P. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
28 MILLER Andrew 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
29 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
30 BAE Kevin 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
31 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 2% -
32 HAN Lawrence 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
33 NECECKAS Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
34 WERWA Griffith 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
35 HOWARD Alexander 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
36 HUDSON Jonathan R. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
37 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
38 COLARUSSO Michael A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
39 CAI Oliver K. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
40 WALOR Owen T. 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
41 KIM Juni C. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
42 BOOTSMA Shawn-Ryan V. 100% 80% 43% 15% 3% - -
43 FU Yifan 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 35% 8%
44 ZHAO Jesse 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
45 AMRANI David 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
46 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
47 GRASSIE James 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
48 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% -
48 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
50 PICARD Justin 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
51 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
52 CONNELL 3rd James 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
53 CHEN Matthew 100% 83% 40% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.