Bucks County Academy of Fencing - Lambertville, NJ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | JONES Chinua C. | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 2 | COETZEE Frans M. | V V V V D | V V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 3 | MCGRATH Sean L. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 3 | ANDERSON Riley | V V D D V | V V V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 5 | CUMMINGS Owen | V D V V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 6 | ALEXANDER Christopher | D V D V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 7 | MILINKOVIC Maksim | V V D V D | V V D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 8 | LEE Henry | V D D D V | V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 9 | BRENNAN Philip | V V V D V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 10 | BUSH Thomas | D V V V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 11 | ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. | D V V V D | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 12 | THOMAS Ethan | D V V V D | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 13 | HEGLAND Grady | V D V D D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 14 | LEE Kevin | D D V V D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 15 | KAPLAN Maddox | D V D D V | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 16 | O'REILLY Robert | D D V D D | V D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 17 | KURPASKA Jonathan A. | V D V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | FLINT James E. | V D D D V | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 19 | KORMANN Joseph | V D D D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 20 | YU David | D V D V D | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 21 | KIRSCH Adam J. | D D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 22 | GOVOROV Alexander | D D D D V | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 23 | RIFKIND Neil | D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 24 | KARASICK Andrew | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.