Event Results
The 9-State Fencing CupSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WANG Russell | V V V V | V V V | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 2 | SILVERZWEIG Conrad | V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 3 | WU ALEXANDER | V V V D | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 3 | MOREHOUSE Jack | D V V | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 5 | ZHANG Leon | V D D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 6 | KIM Daniel | V D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 7 | ZHANG Ethan | D D D V | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 8 | KHANNA Ronak | D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 9 | CIECIEREGA Michael | D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |