The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, December 21, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Round Rock, TX - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 2%
3 TOLSMA Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
3 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
5 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
6 CHANG En Yu 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
7 PAN Angela 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
8 BLANCO Ariia 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
9 SHEN Yongen 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
10 LARAWAY Emily A. 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
11 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
12 TOFFELMIRE Audrey E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
13 MCCREIGHT Elena 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
14 READ Lyla 100% 99% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
15 ORIA Isabel 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
16 SULLIVAN Beatrice 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
17 THOMAS Alice 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
18 RUNIONS Tatum 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
19 ALDRICH Serena 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% - -
20 READ Emerson D. 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
21 OLSON Olivia 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.