The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 22, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Round Rock, TX - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Suri 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
2 GREGORY Aleksandra 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
3 NGUYEN Jolie T. 100% 100% 96% 64% 13%
3 LEE REGINA 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
5 NEMETH Katherine 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% -
6 GEVA Eliana 100% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
7 BARG Margaret 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 10%
8 ZHENG Linden 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
9 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
10 SENYUVA Su 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
11 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
12 XU Isabella 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
13 BARG Daniella 100% 99% 82% 31% 3%
14 LEONG Abby 100% 99% 90% 59% 17% 2%
15 TOLSMA Chloe 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
16 BLANCO Ariia 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
17 SHEN Yongen 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
18 VAN VACTER Madelynn 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
19 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
20 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
21 SHIV Avni 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
22 CHANG En Yu 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
23 QIAN Irene 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
24 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 91% 36% 5% -
25 MCCREIGHT Geneva 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
26 READ Lyla 100% 81% 40% 9% 1% -
26 LEE Juwon 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
28 MADHEKAR Krishita 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
29 LIU sherine 100% 21% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.