Event Results
The 9-State Fencing CupSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GUJJA Rishabh | V V V V V | V V V V V | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| 2 | LI Nolan | D V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 3 | BUTLER Xavier | V V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | LITVINOVSKY Benjamin | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 5 | WANG Lucas | V D V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 6 | ZHEN Maxwell | V D V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 7 | YAO Irvine | V V D V V | V V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 8 | ZHANG Leo | V V D V D V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 9 | LEE Derek | V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 10 | NG Remy | D V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 11 | CAVALLARO Xavier | D V V D V | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 12 | TANG Jayce | V V D V D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 13 | ZHANG Jacob | V V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 14 | CHEN Regis | V D D D V V | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 15 | YAN Milan | D V D V D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 16 | YU MAXIMILIAN | V D D D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 17 | ZHU Kingsley | D V V V D | D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 18 | AU Wesley | D V V D V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 19 | MILOWSKY Majai | V D V D V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 20 | HERIGSTAD Daniel | D D D V V | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 21 | CHARNA Luca | D V D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 22 | JAISING Kian | V V D D D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 23 | MILLER Brodrick | D D V V D D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 24 | LU Tori | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 25 | LUO Sebastian | D D V D D | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 26 | CHEN Boru | V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 27 | LAW Benjamin | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 28 | BACON Bryce | D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| 29 | CURTISS Cameron | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 30 | CHEN Bao | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 31 | ADEN Xiyan | D D D D D D | D | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |