8th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIERRA Gregory 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
2 CROSS Xander 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
3 WILSON Seth 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
3 LORENZ Eli 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 8% 1%
5 BENTLEY Samuel 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
6 MORRIS Halen 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
7 SOBERY Lillian 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
8 MANNING Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
9 FAGAN Cara 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
9 MIZERNY Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
11 SHIVELY Erik 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 2%
12 THOMPSON Owen 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
13 WINKLER Connor 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 3%
14 BROCKMEYER Kendy 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.