Rain City Fall RJCC+Div II ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, October 20, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOLEV Ido 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
2 SANGSTER Arden 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
3 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 WANG Alex 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
5 FERRIS JR. Michael 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% -
6 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
7 XU Adam 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
8 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
9 LIAO Yifong 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% < 1%
10 NADEL Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
11 LOPER Alex 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3%
12 FAYETTE Julien 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
13 ZHANG Lucas 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
14 AUTREY Adrien 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
15 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
16 SULLIVAN Gerard 100% 33% 5% - - -
17 NEARMAN Christopher 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
18 HENRY Ethan 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
19 PENG Gregory 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.