2024 HFA Halloween Challenge

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 2:45 PM

Heartland Fencing Academy,INC - Overland Park, KS, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 53%
2 LOPEZ Reynaldo (REY) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
3 SALDIERNA Anastacio 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
3 MCMILLIAN Harrison 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
5 MCCONKEY Tristan 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3% - -
6 FERGUSON Levi 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
7 STANTON Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18% -
8 METTE Russell 100% 100% 97% 77% 31% 4% -
9 MORALES Isaac 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9% -
10 HASTINGS Alex 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% - - -
11 MCCONKEY Eric 100% 96% 72% 29% 5% - -
12 WILLIAMS Boyd 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52% 12%
13 ANDREWS Gabe 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
14 FOUST Abigail 100% 58% 18% 3% - - - -
15 SWEENEY Catherine 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.