2024 HFA Halloween Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 26, 2024 at 2:45 PM

Heartland Fencing Academy,INC - Overland Park, KS, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WRIGHT Shawn 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
2 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 99% 84% 38% 5%
3 CHRISTIAN John 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
3 FELLHOELTER Hagan 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
5 PAGE Gavin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
6 OSBORN Matthew W. 100% 98% 85% 47% 13% 1%
7 BALA-MAY Noah 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
8 LEBRUSKA Makayla 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
9 REPPAR Riley 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
10 GIOCOLO David 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
11 MARTIN Joseph 100% 95% 50% 12% 1% -
12 TROUGHTON Thomas 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.