Event Results
Grim RapierSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | OWENS Andrew J. | D V V D V V | V V V V | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 2 | NORCONK Claire R. | V V D V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 3 | BERTRAND Matthew T. | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 3 | BOSS Evan | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 5 | PIENTA Chris J. | V V V V D V | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 6 | PECKENS Tyler | V V V V V D | V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 7 | BOLAKOWSKI John M. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 8 | STONE Wesley | V D V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 9 | BECKER Thomas | V V V D V D | D | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| 10 | HOLDORF LE GOFF Bianca | V D V V D V | D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 11 | TATE Liam | D V D D V V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 12 | OWENS Carrie M. | V V D D D V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 13 | GUGINO Esmeralda | V D D V D D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 14 | GREEN Douglas R. | D V D D V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 15 | DEPAUW Adeline | D D D D V D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 16 | GIBSON Ammon | D V D D D D | V D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 17 | NORCONK Craig | D D V V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 18 | HADD Jonathon | D D V V D D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 19 | AGRUDA Memphis | D D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 20 | EDWARDS Jeffrey E. | D D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 21 | GRIFFIN Martha A. | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |