Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Harrison 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19%
2 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
3 FOREST Sung 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
3 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
5 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
6 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
7 HULL Liam 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
8 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
9 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
10 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
11 BOZARTH Alex 100% 99% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
12 WALLACE George 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
13 SAAL Anna 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
14 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
15 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
16 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 95% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
17 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
18 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 4%
19 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
20 MATUSIAK JT 100% 82% 26% 4% - - -
21 TANG Justin 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
22 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% -
23 WATSON Taylor 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
24 VOORHEES Owen 100% 92% 44% 9% 1% -
25 ZHANG Vicky 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
26 LONG Madeline M. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
27 KOVARI Kata 100% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.