Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 27, 2024 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HENDERSON James C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
2 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
3 BENE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17% -
3 BENE Paul 100% 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
5 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
6 WALKER Terra 100% 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
7 FENG Brendan 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
8 NI Hao 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
9 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% < 1%
10 GOSNELL James 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
11 PARCELL Colby 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
12 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
13 SU Ji 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35% -
14 BAIN Tiernan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
15 SILVERMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
16 GOLART Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
17 FANG Elena 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
18 WALLACE Leo 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
19 CARTER Robert 100% 97% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
20 RACHAPROLU DIVYAGNYAAN Siddartha 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
21 DOUGLAS Jamie 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
22 ALLEN Asa 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
23 SOMMERS Graham 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
24 JIN Adam 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
25 FANG Darcy 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
26 SILK Ryan 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% -
27 LAWLESS Elizabeth 100% 99% 30% 3% - - -
28 BORGESON Abigail 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 10% 1%
29 CHON-BAKER Hayden 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
30 URIBE David 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2% -
31 ZHOU Deborah 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
32 LIN Hao 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
33 RUDMIN Peter 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% - -
34 KEESEE Devon 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.