Duel in Dallas ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Dallas Market Hall **MAIN** - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	HAMMERS Neel	-	2%	12%	32%	38%	17%
2	ZLATINSKI Jason	1%	9%	36%	43%	11%	1%
3	XUE Leo	1%	6%	23%	37%	26%	7%
3	VALDEZ ANDRADE Angel Omar	-	-	-	6%	33%	61%
5	KU Collin	1%	13%	42%	33%	10%	1%
6	KERCHER Alexander	-	1%	11%	36%	39%	13%
7	BROCKMEYER Tyler	-	2%	12%	33%	39%	15%
8	DAY Brian A.	-	1%	5%	22%	43%	29%
9	RAY Evan	-	5%	21%	37%	28%	8%
10	ZHANG Kaixuan	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	24%
11	BOLLU Viren	-	1%	10%	35%	40%	14%
12	VEDRE Neil	-	1%	10%	31%	41%	17%
13	ESCUETA Jr Antonio V.	-	-	1%	18%	64%	17%
14	OBEID Zaky	11%	35%	36%	15%	3%	-
15	KOTVALI Aneesh	3%	24%	45%	25%	3%	-
16	CHEN Kevin	1%	11%	30%	35%	18%	3%
17	WANG Alex	2%	11%	31%	36%	17%	3%
18	LI Huangziyue	-	7%	28%	40%	22%	4%
19	LE Long	-	11%	34%	37%	16%	2%
20	RAMSEY Alexander	1%	28%	42%	23%	5%	-
21	ZHOU James Y.	-	-	5%	26%	44%	24%
22	ALI Yosef	27%	42%	24%	6%	1%	-
23	NELSON Andrew	27%	50%	19%	3%	-	-
24	MARTYNEK Santiago	23%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-
25	WANG Luke	14%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
26	WOSTER Matthew (Mateo)	58%	35%	6%	-	-	-
27	LIN Alex	11%	46%	35%	8%	-	-
28	LIU Daniel	7%	28%	38%	22%	5%	-
29	RIDEOUT aiden	46%	44%	9%	1%	-	-
30	WELCH Elijah	92%	8%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.