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Y-10 Women's Foil

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	-	-	-	5%	31%	63%
2	TAN Kaitlyn N.	-	-	1%	5%	22%	42%	30%
3	ORVANANOS Anice	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	13%
3	CHO Rebecca H.	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	13%
5	MATOS Lívia	-	-	-	4%	29%	67%
6	DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia	-	1%	6%	21%	38%	30%	5%
7	KAPUSTINA Arina	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%
8	LI Sophia M.	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	5%
9	ZHENG Julie	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%
10	LIU Angel(Daying)	-	3%	15%	34%	35%	13%
11	FEDELI Caterina S.	-	-	-	6%	31%	63%
12	LEE Lavender	1%	8%	31%	43%	16%	1%
13	SHMAY Anastasia	1%	10%	31%	36%	18%	3%
14	TUCKER ALARCON Frida	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%	-
15	SEO IRENE Y.	-	1%	9%	29%	41%	20%
16	GOOR Viviene E.	12%	39%	34%	12%	2%	-
17	LIN Zhi tong	-	2%	9%	25%	34%	23%	6%
18	HU Felice	-	1%	8%	35%	47%	10%
19	WANG Jasmine	2%	11%	29%	35%	19%	4%	-
20	LIU Jaelyn A.	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
21	HERGAN Anastasia K.	-	3%	18%	37%	32%	10%
22	CHANG Elizabeth	-	1%	9%	35%	46%	8%
23	KANDL-ZHANG Lea	1%	10%	29%	36%	20%	4%
24	ZHUANG Christina	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
25	CHIRASHNYA Mika	-	3%	14%	32%	33%	15%	2%
26	MI Aileen	2%	14%	32%	33%	16%	3%	-
27	SHA Yi Ling	4%	26%	42%	23%	4%	-
28	SHIM Grace	39%	45%	15%	1%	-	-
29	POPOKH Aleksandra	3%	16%	32%	31%	15%	3%
30	NAIR Supriya	1%	10%	30%	37%	19%	4%
31	ZHANG Eunice	-	3%	21%	48%	25%	2%
32	HUESER Nisha	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
33	CHEN Chloe I.	-	4%	16%	34%	33%	13%
34	SYKES Elynor	8%	37%	41%	12%	1%	-
35	BURBERRY Livia	1%	10%	31%	36%	18%	3%
36	CHOW Tessa	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%	-
38	PRIZANT Rachel	62%	32%	6%	-	-	-
39	ZHENG Zoe	4%	26%	39%	24%	6%	1%
40	WANG Jolie Z.	15%	41%	33%	9%	1%	-
41	MANIKTALA Prisha	4%	34%	40%	18%	4%	-
42	YANG Iris	1%	7%	24%	36%	25%	7%	-
43	STRUGAR Steliana	8%	26%	35%	22%	7%	1%	-
44	CHOW Annabelle	10%	32%	36%	18%	4%	-	-
45	LUH Mia P.	5%	25%	37%	25%	7%	1%
47	KHAN Leena	2%	35%	44%	16%	2%	-
48	ZGOMBIC Natalie	63%	31%	6%	1%	-	-
48	ZHANG Alina	75%	23%	2%	-	-	-
50	ZOLDAN Gweniveve A.	7%	25%	35%	24%	8%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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