March NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, March 4, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Cleveland, OH - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
2 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 20%
3 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
5 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
6 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
7 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
8 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
9 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
10 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2%
11 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 14%
12 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
13 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
14 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 44%
15 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
16 MENG Xiang 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28%
17 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 9%
18 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
19 BAILEY Asher 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
20 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
21 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
22 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
23 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
24 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
25 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 30%
26 CHEN Oscar 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 8% 1%
27 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
28 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
29 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
30 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
31 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
32 NARANJO David E. 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 6% -
33 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
34 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
35 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
36 STONE Jack V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 30% 5%
37 TANN Justin 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
38 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
39 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
39 YANG Richard 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
41 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
42 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
43 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41%
44 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
45 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
45 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
47 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
48 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 7%
49 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 13%
50 LI Joshua L. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
51 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
52 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
53 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
54 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
55 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
56 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
57 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
58 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
59 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
60 DU Gavin J. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5% -
61 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 4%
62 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
63 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
64 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
65 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
65 LIU kelly 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5% -
67 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
68 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
69 LIU David J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
70 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
71 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
72 PARKER Riley D. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
72 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 93% 52% 14% 1%
74 ALKIN Isaac 100% 99% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
75 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
76 KEEFE Duncan 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
77 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
78 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
79 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
79 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 87% 50% 14% 1% -
81 CHEN Lucas B. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
82 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8% 1%
83 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
84 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 74% 23% 3% < 1% - -
85 BRUSIE Christopher R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
86 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
87 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
88 LU Caleb Q. 100% 99% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
88 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
90 LEE Conner M. 100% 100% 97% 72% 29% 6% -
91 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
91 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
93 LI Minghan 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
93 SHASHA zane 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1% -
95 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
96 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
97 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
98 CHEN Leo 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
99 LEUNG Nathan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
100 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 89% 51% 12%
101 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
101 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
103 BONSELL Vance 100% 96% 63% 23% 4% - -
103 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
105 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
106 LEE Justin 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
107 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
108 GOLD Jackson 100% 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
109 BULL Anderson 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
110 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
110 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 93% 59% 22% 4% - -
112 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
113 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 100% 93% 67% 27% 5% -
114 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
115 BOUNACHADA Zacharia 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
116 SMITH Vaughn 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
117 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
118 YANG Duncan 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
118 XU William 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
120 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% - -
121 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
122 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
124 WANG Charles 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
125 JOHNSTON Bennett S. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
126 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
127 PUCKETT Carter 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
128 CHAN Aidan 100% 82% 34% 7% 1% - -
129 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
130 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
131 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
132 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% -
133 GARCIA Ryan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
134 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1%
135 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
136 LUO George F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
137 RYAN Will 100% 84% 39% 4% - - -
138 TRAVERS Arnav A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
139 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
140 BURNS Jackson P. 100% 76% 31% 4% - - -
141 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
142 FOX Nicholas 100% 84% 29% 4% - - -
144 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 99% 86% 54% 22% 5% -
145 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
146 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 99% 87% 57% 25% 6% 1%
147 PILLAI Jay K. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
147 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
149 HOLZ William A. 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -
150 ZENG Noah 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
151 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 71% 23% 2% - - -
152 SAMMI Mukund 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1% -
153 COX Luis E. 100% 80% 36% 9% 1% - -
154 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
155 SLOCOMBE Xavier 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
156 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
157 KESSLER Josh 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
158 XU Andrew 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
159 WANG Andy 100% 81% 37% 6% - - -
160 SERVES Alexander 100% 100% 90% 51% 13% 2% -
161 PEARSON James G. 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
162 NIELANDER Elliot S. 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
163 YU Thomas 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
164 LEE Christopher M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
165 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
165 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
167 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
168 HUSTON Theodore 100% 8% - - - - -
169 COOK Aidan J. 100% 12% 1% - - - -
169 ELIN Adam E. 100% 81% 37% 6% - - -
171 LIN Steve 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
171 HODGES Calvin 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
173 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
175 BULLARD Nicholas Y. 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
176 LAGROU Emerson R. 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
176 LEWALLEN Reece 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
176 WONG Ethan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
181 PARKER Benjamin D. 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.