Duel in Dallas ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Dallas Market Hall **MAIN** - Dallas, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	PEI Claire	-	-	5%	20%	42%	33%
2	AWALEGAONKAR Saina	-	1%	9%	27%	40%	22%
3	LI Jasmine	2%	17%	36%	32%	11%	1%
3	HOLDEN Helena	-	-	1%	11%	52%	36%
5	MAI Mailan	-	-	-	6%	46%	47%
6	OLSON Olivia	1%	7%	23%	37%	26%	6%
7	YOUNG Nicole	2%	14%	34%	35%	14%	1%
8	HUANG Selina	-	-	2%	19%	51%	27%
9	NORRIS Morgan	-	-	1%	10%	44%	45%
10	BEATIE Isabella M.	-	-	1%	7%	34%	58%
11	ANDRUS Allie	1%	9%	29%	38%	20%	2%
12	NARAYANAN Avani	2%	11%	29%	35%	20%	4%
13	DESAI Eesha	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
14	KOSIM Irene	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%
15	LIN Gianna	4%	24%	43%	26%	2%	-
16	FENG Esther	6%	26%	38%	24%	6%	-
17	RAJ Indra	1%	10%	35%	41%	12%	1%
18	KONERU Anvitha	2%	14%	32%	33%	15%	3%
19	ROMANOV Mia	5%	26%	43%	23%	3%	-
20	VASYAKIN Nellie	16%	37%	31%	13%	2%	-
21	MCCREIGHT Elena	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
22	MONTGOMERY Vivian	8%	29%	37%	21%	5%	-
23	BRINDAVAN Vyahriti	9%	33%	39%	17%	1%	-
24	FANG Olivia	10%	35%	38%	15%	1%	-
25	CHAN Faith Sum Yin	27%	46%	23%	4%	-	-
26	HU Avery	17%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-
27	SHIBU Pavitra	5%	22%	36%	26%	9%	1%
28	TUMULA Anima	25%	46%	25%	5%	-	-
29	FAULKENBERRY Allison	35%	42%	18%	4%	-	-
30	ZENG Joy	27%	44%	24%	5%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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